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Interpretation of offshore wind management policies identified via partially observable Markov decision processes
Nandar, Hlaing; Morato Dominguez, Pablo Gabriel; Papakonstantinou, K. G. et al.
2022
 

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Keywords :
Offshore wind turbines; Inspection and maintenance planning; Markov decision processes.
Abstract :
[en] The installation of offshore wind turbines, profiting from available abundant and stable wind resources, has been steadily increasing in the last decade, yet preserving offshore wind structures in a good condition throughout their lifetime still remains a challenge. Structural components are exposed to deterioration mechanisms (e.g., fatigue, corrosion, among others), and far offshore, inspection and maintenance (I&M) operations can be complex and expensive. Hence the need for efficient optimal I&M planning methods has been increased in order to control the risk of structural failures by timely allocating inspection and maintenance interventions. Identifying optimal I&M policies demands the solution of a complex sequential decision-making problem under uncertainty and imperfect information. Whereas time-, condition-, or heuristic-based strategies are conven- tionally followed in the offshore wind industry in order to alleviate the aforementioned computational difficulties, the resulting policies statically select inspection and maintenance actions and/or consist in predefined heuristic de- cision rules, e.g., equidistant inspections, repairs after detection inspection outcomes, which are optimized by ex- ploring a subset out of the vast policy space. Instead, optimal management strategies can be identified via partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs), relying on mathematical principles conceived for planning un- der uncertainty [1]. POMDP policies, efficiently computed through point-based solvers, provide optimal adaptive I&M strategies that ultimately result in substantial cost benefits compared to their state-of-the-art counterparts [2], also demonstrated in offshore wind inspection and maintenance planning settings [3]. Even if recently reported results demonstrate the benefits of implementing POMDP-based adaptive policies for the management of offshore wind assets, the interpretation and execution of POMDP-based strategies by decision-makers (e.g., designers, operators, etc.) accustomed to calendar- and/or condition-based conventional I&M approaches might be initially challenging. In this work, we analyze and interpret POMDP-based policies with the objective of accelerating their practical implementation by offshore wind asset management decision-makers. Also, we showcase the inherent flexibility and adaptability properties offered by POMDP-based policies in a typical offshore wind inspection and maintenance planning setting, in which a decision-maker opts for an action other than the one suggested in the optimal POMDP policy.
Disciplines :
Energy
Author, co-author :
Nandar, Hlaing  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département ArGEnCo > ANAST (Systèmes de transport et constructions navales)
Morato Dominguez, Pablo Gabriel ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département ArGEnCo > ANAST (Systèmes de transport et constructions navales)
Papakonstantinou, K. G.;  The Pennsylvania State University > Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering
Andriotis, C. P.;  Delft University of Technology > Faculty of Architecture & the Built Environment
Rigo, Philippe  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département ArGEnCo > ANAST (Systèmes de transport et constructions navales)
Language :
English
Title :
Interpretation of offshore wind management policies identified via partially observable Markov decision processes
Publication date :
November 2022
Event name :
EAWE PhD Seminar 2022
Event organizer :
PhairywinD
Event place :
Bruges, Belgium
Event date :
2-4 Nov 2022
Audience :
International
Development Goals :
9. Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Name of the research project :
PhairywinD (https://www.phairywind.be/)
Funders :
SPF Economie - Service Public Fédéral Économie, PME, Classes moyennes et Énergie [BE]
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since 14 May 2023

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