Article (Scientific journals)
Identifying trend reversals in atmospheric ethane from a multi-site analysis
Friedrich, Marina; Koopman, Siem Jan; Lin, Yicong et al.
2026In Climatic Change, 179 (4)
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
 

Files


Full Text
Friedrich_et_al-2026-Climatic_Change.pdf
Publisher postprint (15.98 MB) Creative Commons License - Attribution
Download

All documents in ORBi are protected by a user license.

Send to



Details



Keywords :
atmospheric ethane; FTIR remote sensing; Nonparametric trend analysis; Kalman filter
Abstract :
[en] Ethane is the most abundant non-methane hydrocarbon in Earth’s atmosphere and acts as an indirect greenhouse gas, influencing the atmospheric lifetime of methane. Therefore, understanding the development of trends and identifying trend reversals in atmospheric ethane is crucial. Ethane abundance is measured at different ground-based stations world- wide using Fourier transform infrared remote sensing techniques. We compile a new dataset comprising 26 ethane time series from the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. We analyze their long-term trends using different econometric techniques capable of handling missing data and strong seasonal components present in the data. The resulting trend pat- terns are consistent across the different methods, with similar estimated trends at the various stations. In the Northern Hemisphere, the common trend across stations declined from the 1990s to 2005, gradually increased over the next decade, and then resumed a similar downward trajectory from 2015 onward. The estimated trends reveal a pronounced peak around 2014/2015, marking a reversal from an upward to a downward trend.
Research Center/Unit :
SPHERES - ULiège
Disciplines :
Earth sciences & physical geography
Author, co-author :
Friedrich, Marina 
Koopman, Siem Jan 
Lin, Yicong 
Mahieu, Emmanuel  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'astrophysique, géophysique et océanographie (AGO) > Groupe infra-rouge de physique atmosphérique et solaire (GIRPAS)
Smeekes, Stephan 
De Mazière, Martine
Flood, Victoria
Frey, Matthias Max
Grutter, Michel 
Hannigan, James W.
Hase, Frank
Jones, Nicholas
Kivi, Rigel 
Makarova, Maria
Morino, Isamu
Murata, Isao
Nagahama, Tomoo
Notholt, Justus
Ortega, Ivan 
Prignon, Maxime
Röhling, Amelie Ninja
Smale, Dan
Strong, Kimberly
Té, Yao
Zhou, Minqiang
More authors (15 more) Less
Language :
English
Title :
Identifying trend reversals in atmospheric ethane from a multi-site analysis
Publication date :
25 March 2026
Journal title :
Climatic Change
ISSN :
0165-0009
eISSN :
1573-1480
Publisher :
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Volume :
179
Issue :
4
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Funders :
F.R.S.-FNRS - Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique
Office Fédéral de Météorologie et de Climatologie MétéoSuisse
Available on ORBi :
since 25 March 2026

Statistics


Number of views
50 (0 by ULiège)
Number of downloads
36 (0 by ULiège)

Scopus citations®
 
0
Scopus citations®
without self-citations
0
OpenCitations
 
0
OpenAlex citations
 
0

Bibliography


Similar publications



Contact ORBi