[en] Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.
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Costa, Clayane Matos; Laboratory of Plant Anatomy and Dendrochronology, Department of Biology, Universidade Federal de Sergipe - UFS, Aracaju, Brazil
Couralet, Camille ; Wood Biology Service, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium
Crispín-De-La-Cruz, Doris Bianca ; Department of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil ; Laboratorio de Dendrocronología, Universidad Continental, Huancayo, Perú
D'arrigo, Rosanne; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA
David, Diego A ; Department of Forest Sciences, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín, Colombia
De Ridder, Maaike; Wood Biology Service, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium
Del Valle, Jorge Ignacio ; Department of Forest Sciences, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín, Colombia
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Fayolle, Adeline ; UR Forêts et Sociétés du CIRAD, Montpellier cedex 5, France ; Gestion des Ressources Forestières de Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, ULiège, Gembloux, Belgium
Fenilli, Tatiele Anete Bergamo ; Department of Forest Engineering, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Santa Catarina, Brazil
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Francisco, Kainana S ; USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Hilo, HI, USA
Fu, Pei-Li ; CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, Yunnan, China
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Heinrich, Ingo ; German Archaeological Institute DAI, Department of Natural Sciences, Berlin, Germany ; Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Helle, Gerhard ; Section Geomorphology, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany
Hornink, Bruna ; Department of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil ; Department of Forest Sciences, Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of Sao Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil
Hubau, Wannes ; Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Department of Environment, Laboratory of Wood Technology (UGent-Woodlab), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
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Jiang, Yu-Mei ; Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
Kaib, Mark ; US Fish and Wildlife Service, Albuquerque, NM, USA
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Layme, Eva ; Instituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria, Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal, Huancayo, Perú ; CITEforestal Pucallpa, Pucallpa, Perú
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Ligot, Gauthier ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département GxABT > Gestion des ressources forestières
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Loader, Neil J ; Department of Geography, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, UK
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Locosselli, Giuliano Maselli ; Department of Botany, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil ; Center of Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
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