Article (Scientific journals)
Independent validation and outlier analysis of EuroPOND alzheimer's disease staging model using ADNI and real-world clinical data.
Wittens, Mandy M J; Sima, Diana M; Brys, Arne et al.
2025In Alzheimer's Research and Therapy, 17 (1), p. 134
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Keywords :
Alzheimer’s disease; Automated volumetry; Biomarkers; Event-based modelling; Magnetic resonance imaging; tau Proteins; Amyloid beta-Peptides; Humans; Male; Female; Aged; Disease Progression; tau Proteins/cerebrospinal fluid; Cognitive Dysfunction/cerebrospinal fluid; Aged, 80 and over; Amyloid beta-Peptides/cerebrospinal fluid; Cohort Studies; Biomarkers/cerebrospinal fluid; Middle Aged; Neuropsychological Tests; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Mental Status and Dementia Tests; Alzheimer Disease/cerebrospinal fluid; Alzheimer Disease/diagnosis; Alzheimer Disease/diagnostic imaging; Alzheimer Disease/pathology
Abstract :
[en] BACKGROUND: Event-based modeling (EBM) traces sequential progression of events in complex processes like neurodegenerative diseases, adept at handling uncertainties. This study validated an EBM for Alzheimer's disease (AD) staging designed by EuroPOND, an EU-funded Horizon 2020 project, using research and real-world datasets, a crucial step towards application in multi-center trials. METHODS: The training dataset comprised 1737 subjects from ADNI-1/GO/2, using the EuroPOND EBM toolbox. Testing datasets included a research cohort from University of Antwerp (controls, CN (n = 46), subjective cognitive decline, SCD (n = 10), mild cognitive impairment, MCI (n = 47), AD dementia, ADD (n = 16)) and a real-world cohort from 9 Belgian Dementia Council memory clinics (CN (n = 91), SCD (n = 66), (non-amnestic) naMCI (n = 54), aMCI (n = 255), and ADD (n = 220). Biomarkers included: 2 clinical scores (Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE), Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test (RAVLT)); 3 CSF-biomarkers (Aβ1-42, P-tau181, total-Tau); and 4 magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) biomarkers (volumes of the hippocampi, temporal, parietal, and frontal cortices) computed with icobrain dm. The naMCI and aMCI groups were compared by EBM stage proportions, and the model's effectiveness at patient level was evaluated. RESULTS: The research cohort's maximum likelihood event sequence comprised CSF Aβ1-42, P-tau181, T-tau, RAVLT, MMSE, and cortical volumes. The clinical cohort's order was frontal cortex volume, MMSE, and remaining cortical regions. aMCI subjects showed higher staging than naMCI, with 54% in the two most advanced stages compared to 38% in naMCI. In the research cohort, 10 outliers were identified with potential mismatches between assigned stages and clinical or biomarker profiles, with CN (n = 4) and SCD (n = 2) subjects assigned in stage 4, one control in stage 9 with abnormal imaging, and three aMCI cases in stage 0 despite clinical or volumetric signs of impairment. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the generalizability of EuroPOND's AD EBM model across research and real-world clinical datasets, supporting its use in multi-center trials. aMCI subjects generally reside in more advanced stages than naMCI, who may not necessarily have AD, demonstrating utility for precision recruitment/screening.
Disciplines :
Neurosciences & behavior
Author, co-author :
Wittens, Mandy M J;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium ; Dep. of Neurology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel (UZ Brussel), Brussels, Belgium ; Neuroprotection & Neuromodulation (NEUR) Research Group, Center for Neurosciences (C4N), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Laarbeeklaan 103, Brussel, 1090, Belgium
Sima, Diana M;  icometrix, Leuven, Belgium
Brys, Arne;  icometrix, Leuven, Belgium
Struyfs, Hanne;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
Niemantsverdriet, Ellis;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
De Roeck, Ellen;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium ; Department of Neurology and Memory Clinic, ZAS-Hoge Beuken, Antwerp, Belgium
Bastin, Christine  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > GIGA > GIGA Neurosciences - Aging & Memory ; Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique-FNRS, Liège, Belgium
Benoit, Florence;  Geriatrics Department, Brugmann University Hospital, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
Bergmans, Bruno;  Neurology Department, AZ St-Jan Brugge, Ghent University and Ghent University Hospital, Bruges, Gent, Belgium
Bier, Jean-Christophe;  Neurology Department, H. U. B. - Erasme Hospital, Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium
de Deyn, Peter Paul;  Laboratory of Neurochemistry and Behaviour, Experimental Neurobiology unit, Department of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium ; Department of Neurology and Alzheimer Research Center, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
Deryck, Olivier;  Department of Neurology, AZ Sint-Lucas, Brugge, Belgium
Hanseeuw, Bernard;  WELBIO department, WEL Research Institute, Wavre, 1300, Belgium ; Institute of Neuroscience, Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, 1200, Belgium ; Department of Neurology, Clinique Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, 1200, Belgium
Ivanoiu, Adrian;  Institute of Neuroscience, Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, 1200, Belgium ; Department of Neurology, Clinique Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, 1200, Belgium
Picard, Gaëtane;  Department of Neurology, Clinique Saint-Pierre, Ottignies, Belgium
Salmon, Eric  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département des sciences cliniques
Segers, Kurt;  Neurology & Geriatrics Dpt, Brugmann University Hospital, Van Gehuchtenplein 4, Brussels, 1020, Belgium
Sieben, Anne;  Neuropathology lab, IBB-NeuroBiobank BB190113, Born Bunge Institute, Antwerp, Belgium ; Department of Pathology, Antwerp University Hospital - UZA, Antwerp, Belgium ; Laboratory of Neurology, Translational Neurosciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
Thiery, Evert;  Department of Neurology, University Hospital Ghent, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Tournoy, Jos;  Gerontology & Geriatrics, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium ; Department of Geriatric Medicine, UZ Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
van Binst, Anne-Marie;  Radiology department, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel (UZ Brussel), Brussels, Belgium
Versijpt, Jan;  Dep. of Neurology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel (UZ Brussel), Brussels, Belgium ; Neuroprotection & Neuromodulation (NEUR) Research Group, Center for Neurosciences (C4N), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Laarbeeklaan 103, Brussel, 1090, Belgium
Smeets, Dirk;  icometrix, Leuven, Belgium
Bjerke, Maria;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium ; Neuroprotection & Neuromodulation (NEUR) Research Group, Center for Neurosciences (C4N), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Laarbeeklaan 103, Brussel, 1090, Belgium ; Laboratory of Neurochemistry, Dept of Clinical Chemistry, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel (UZ Brussel), Brussels, Belgium
Bellio, Maura;  Department of Computer Science, UCL Hawkes Institute (Centre for Medical Image Computing), University College London, London, UK
Oxtoby, Neil P;  Department of Computer Science, UCL Hawkes Institute (Centre for Medical Image Computing), University College London, London, UK
Alexander, Daniel C;  Department of Computer Science, UCL Hawkes Institute (Centre for Medical Image Computing), University College London, London, UK
Ribbens, Annemie;  icometrix, Leuven, Belgium
Engelborghs, Sebastiaan;  Dep. of Biomedical Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium. Sebastiaan.Engelborghs@vub.be ; Dep. of Neurology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel (UZ Brussel), Brussels, Belgium. Sebastiaan.Engelborghs@vub.be ; Neuroprotection & Neuromodulation (NEUR) Research Group, Center for Neurosciences (C4N), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Laarbeeklaan 103, Brussel, 1090, Belgium. Sebastiaan.Engelborghs@vub.be
More authors (19 more) Less
Language :
English
Title :
Independent validation and outlier analysis of EuroPOND alzheimer's disease staging model using ADNI and real-world clinical data.
Publication date :
16 June 2025
Journal title :
Alzheimer's Research and Therapy
eISSN :
1758-9193
Publisher :
Springer Science and Business Media LLC, England
Volume :
17
Issue :
1
Pages :
134
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Tags :
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