The importance of tropical tree-ring chronologies for global change research

Climate sensitivity; Dendrochronology; Growth synchrony; Pantropical tree growth; Global change; High elevation; Tree growth; Tree rings; Tree-ring study; Tropical tree; Global and Planetary Change; Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics; Archeology (arts and humanities); Archeology; Geology

Abstract :

[en] Tropical forests and woodlands are key components of the global carbon and water cycles. Yet, how climate change affects these biogeochemical cycles is poorly understood because of scarce long-term observations of tropical tree growth. The recent rise in tropical tree-ring studies may help to fill this gap, but a large-scale quantitative analysis of their potential in global change research is missing. We compiled a list of all tropical tree species known to form annual tree rings and built a network encompassing 492 tropical ring-width chronologies to evaluate the potential to generate insights on climate sensitivity of woody productivity and to build centuries-long reconstructions of climate variability. We assess chronology quality, length, and climatic representativeness and explore how these change along climatic gradients. Finally, we applied species-distribution modeling to identify regions with potential for tree-ring studies in ecological and climatic studies. The number of tropical chronologies has rapidly increased, with ∼400 added over the past two decades. Yet, tree-ring studies are biased towards high-elevation locations, with gaps in warmer and wetter climates, on the African continent, and for angiosperm species. The longest chronologies with strongest climate signals (i.e., synchronous growth variations among trees) are from cool regions. In wet regions, climate signals and precipitation sensitivity decrease. Most tropical regions harbor 5–15 (and up to 80) species with proven potential to generate chronologies. The potential for long climate reconstructions is particularly high in drier high elevation sites. Our findings support strategies to effectively expand tree-ring research in the tropics, by targeting specific species and regions. Tropical dendrochronology can importantly contribute to global change research by generating historical context of climate extremes, quantifying climate sensitivity of woody productivity and benchmarking vegetation models.

Disciplines :

Phytobiology (plant sciences, forestry, mycology...)
Environmental sciences & ecology

Author, co-author :

Groenendijk, Peter ; Department of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, P.O. Box: 6109, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, Brazil

Babst, Flurin; School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States ; Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States

Trouet, Valerie; Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States ; Belgian Climate Centre, Uccle, Belgium

Fan, Ze-Xin; CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, China

Granato-Souza, Daniela; Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences Department, Forestry, Ecology and Wildlife Program, Alabama A&M University, United States

Locosselli, Giuliano Maselli; Department of Botany, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil ; Center of Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Brazil

Mokria, Mulugeta; Institute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany ; World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya

Panthi, Shankar; CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, China

Pumijumnong, Nathsuda; Faculty of Environment and Resource studies, Mahidol University, Nakhon Pathom, Thailand

Abiyu, Abrham; World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

More authors (145 more)

Language :

English

Title :

The importance of tropical tree-ring chronologies for global change research

Publication date :

May 2025

Journal title :

Quaternary Science Reviews

ISSN :

0277-3791

eISSN :

1873-457X

Publisher :

Elsevier Ltd

Volume :

355

Pages :

109233

Peer reviewed :

Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi

Additional URL :

https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0277379125000538?httpAccept=text/xml

Funding text :

Short-term fellowship from the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute (RaAS)ITTO Fellowship Award grant 046/12S (EJRR)CAPES grant 88887.199858/2018-00 (GAP)CAPES grant 88887.495294/2020-00 (BH)CAPES/PDSE grant 15011/13-5 (MAP)CNPq ENV grant FRG 0339638 (OD)CNPq grant 1009/4785031-2 (GC)CNPq grant 140277/2024-2 (DBCC)CNPq grant 311247/2021-0 (JS)CNPq grant 405923/2021-0 (MCS)CNPq grant 406062/2023-4 (MCS)CNPq grant 441811/2020-5 (JS)CNPq grant PQ 313129/2022-3 (ACB)CONACYT Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog\u00EDa M\u00E9xico grant CB2016-283134 (JVD & LRCE)CONAFOR-CONACYT grant C01-234547 (JCP)CONAFOR-CONACYT grant CONAFOR-2014 (LRCE)CONCYTEC Peru & World Bank grants FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 043-2019 (to JGI) and BM-INC.INV 039\u20132019 (to MEF)CONICET grant PIP-11220200102929CO (MEF)FACEPE grant IBPG-1418-5.00/21 (DBCC)FAPEAM grant 01.02.016301.02630/2022-76 (JS)FAPEMIG grant APQ-01544-22 (ACB)FAPEMIG grant APQ-02541-14 (GAP)FAPESC grant 2019TR65 (TABF)FAPESP grant 2012/50457-4 (GC)FAPESP grant 2009/53951-7 (MTF)FAPESP grant 2018/01847-0 (PG)FAPESP grant 2018/07632-6 (MGV)FAPESP grant 2018/22914-8 (DROR & NB)FAPESP grant 2019/08783-0 (GML)FAPESP grant 2019/09813-0 (MGV)FAPESP grant 2020/04608-7 (DROR)FAPESP grant 2019/26350-4 (NB)FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC grant 01/2011 (MAP)FCT - Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology grant UIDB/04033/2020 (JLPCL)Mahidol University grant FRB660042/0185 (NP)Colciencias grant 1118-714-51372 (IRNM)National Geographic Global Exploration Fund grant GEFNE80-13 (IR)National Natural Science Foundation of China grant 31870591 (PF)National Research Council of Thailand (NRCT) grant N42A660392 (PT)NSF grant AGS-1501321 (DGS & GAP)NSF CREST grant 0833211 (KSF)NSF grant IBN-9801287 (AJL)NSF grant AGS-2102888 (JM)NSF grant AGS-2102938 (GLH)NSF grant GER-9553623 (BJE)NSF-FAPESP PIRE grant 2017/50085-3 (CF, MTF, GC, GML, MGV & DROR)NSF-FAPESP PIRE grant 2019/27110-7 (CF)Thailand Science Research and Innovation Fund Chulalongkorn University (PT)Xunta de Galicia grant ED431C 2023/19 (GPL)Xunta de Galicia grant ED481D 2023/012 (GPL)Support and assistance: Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute-Panama, Sebastian Bernal (RaAS). Supervision: Helene Muller-Landau, S. Joseph Wright (RaAS). Fieldwork support: COOMFLONA - FLONA TAPAJ\u00D3S, Universidade do Oeste do Par\u00E1 (BH), Sut\u00F3 Company and Angel Chavez at Consultora Forestal Bosques e Industria (KPV), Logging company AMATA (DROR). Lab support: Rebecca Franklin, Guillermo Guada, Quirine Hakkaart, Annemarijn Nijmeijer and Peter van der Sleen (KPV). This work was carried out with the support of CAPES - Financing Code 001. All authors have no conflict of interest to declare.NSF CREST grant 0833211 (KSF)DFG grant BR 1895/15-1 (AB)FAPESP grant 2019/09813-0 (MGV)FAPESP grant 2019/08783-0 (GML)FAPESP grant 2012/50457-4 (GC)FAPESP grant 2020/04608-7 (DROR)NSF grant AGS-2102938 (GLH)NSF grant AGS-2102888 (JM)National Natural Science Foundation of China grant 31870591 (PF)DFG grant BR 1895/23-1 (AB)National Geographic Global Exploration Fund grant GEFNE80-13 (IR)National Research Council of Thailand (NRCT) grant N42A660392 (PT)FCT - Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology grant UIDB/04033/2020 (JLPCL)FAPESP grant 2019/26350-4 (NB)FAPESP grant 2018/07632-6 (MGV)FAPESP grant 2018/01847-0 (PG)FAPESP grant 2009/53951-7 (MTF)NSF grant GER-9553623 (BJE)NSF grant IBN-9801287 (AJL)DFG grant BR 1895/29-1 (AB)NSF grant AGS-1501321 (DGS & GAP)

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