Residential flexible load profile generator to estimate the impact of tariffs and demand response on distribution grids and energy bills

The flexibility of residential loads must be considered to reach an optimal long-term development strategy in distribution networks. However, due to privacy and logistic obstacles, real data for this is not yet available.
This work proposes a tool for generating synthetic behaviors of the households' members. It stochastically constructs a load profile by generating occupancy patterns inside the home and random appliance usage events depending on the attendance, to construct a baseload for the home. In addition to this fixed load, several types of flexible appliances with adapted
flexibility boundaries.
These load profiles are used to model neighborhoods or small villages, to represent the reaction of a complete low-voltage grid to different tariffs. Users change their consumption patterns within the defined boundaries to react optimally to varying energy and grid prices. This allows to evaluate the effects of the regulations for grid tariffs on the customers' energy bills, the grid congestion and the DSO revenues.