Article (Scientific journals)
Scenario simulation in decision-making optimization: lessons from social coppice forests
Zandebasiri, M.; Jahanbazi Goujani, H.; Pezdevšek Malovrh, Š. et al.
2024In International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology
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Keywords :
Analytic hierarchy process; Extreme conservation; Sustainable forest management; Traditional coppicing; Coppice managements; Decision-making optimization; Decision-making process; High forests; Management options; Optimal solutions; Scenario simulations; Environmental Engineering; Environmental Chemistry; Agricultural and Biological Sciences (all)
Abstract :
[en] In this study, three options for coppice management in Iran were developed. These management options include Traditional Coppicing (TC), modification of TC, and extreme conservation to convert them into high forest. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used for modeling to select the optimal solution for managing these forests. Six different scenarios were simulated in which the importance of the criteria in decision-making process changed. The results show that each of the three management options has its own importance, which depends on the conditions of the region and the different importance of the decision criteria. Therefore, the selection of the management scenario for future forest planning depends on prioritizing the criteria from the perspective of the managers and stakeholders and is dependent on social, economic and ecological conditions in each management unit. The results of this study show that it is not possible to rely solely on the results of the AHP method for forest management decisions, as AHP model does not include constraints. In this context, reverse engineering can be very helpful in the final conclusion of the decision. The results of this study can make a valuable contribution to the global literature and support decision-making, especially in scenarios where stakeholder participation may be limited and modeling stakeholder behavior is essential to the decision-making process.
Disciplines :
Agriculture & agronomy
Author, co-author :
Zandebasiri, M. ;  Research Division of Natural Resources, Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center, AREEO, Shahrekord, Iran
Jahanbazi Goujani, H.;  Research Division of Natural Resources, Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center, AREEO, Shahrekord, Iran
Pezdevšek Malovrh, Š.;  Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Azadi, Hossein  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > TERRA Research Centre > Modélisation et développement
Grošelj, P.;  Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Language :
English
Title :
Scenario simulation in decision-making optimization: lessons from social coppice forests
Publication date :
2024
Journal title :
International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology
ISSN :
1735-1472
eISSN :
1735-2630
Publisher :
Springer Nature
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Funding text :
Funding was provided by Chaharmahal & Bakhtiari Agricultural & Natural Resources Research & Education Center, Iran.
Available on ORBi :
since 29 September 2024

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