ASSURE: a model for the simulation of urban expansion and intra-urban social segregation

[en] Numerous cities in developing regions worldwide are expanding at a tremendous rate. This requires adequate strategies to address the needs of these growing cities with diverse populations. Nonetheless, the development of urban policies is often hampered by the lack of reliable data or insight in the socio-spatial dynamics of this urban expansion. This paper therefore presents ASSURE, a spatially and temporally explicit model that can simulate urban growth and intra-urban social segregation, taking into account alternative policy strategies and expected social dynamics. The model has a flexible structure that allows incorporating specific city conditions that influence residential decision-making and adapting the simulation to the data available. This, in combination with the transparent model structure, makes ASSURE a potentially valuable decision support tool for urban planning. The potential is demonstrated with an example where the urban growth of and social segregation in Kampala (Uganda) is simulated based on (semi-)quantitative and qualitative data for ca. 800 households collected through interviews. The results of the simulations show that depending on the scenario, the spatial segregation and accessibility problems will evolve highly differently. © 2016 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

Disciplines :

Human geography & demography

Author, co-author :

Vermeiren, K.; Geography and Tourism Research Group, Department Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Heverlee, Belgium, Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Mol, Belgium

Vanmaercke, Matthias ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Géographie physique et du quaternaire

Beckers, Jacqueline ; Université de Liège > Département des Sciences de l'éducation > Département des Sciences de l'éducation

Van Rompaey, A.; Geography and Tourism Research Group, Department Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Heverlee, Belgium

Language :

English

Title :

ASSURE: a model for the simulation of urban expansion and intra-urban social segregation

Publication date :

2016

Journal title :

International Journal of Geographical Information Science

ISSN :

1365-8816

eISSN :

1365-8824

Publisher :

Taylor and Francis Ltd.

Volume :

Issue :

Pages :

2377-2400

Peer reviewed :

Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi

Available on ORBi :

since 28 March 2017

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