[en] Consider N players, respectively owning x\, xi,..., x^ monetary units, who play a sequence of games, winning from and losing to each other integer amounts according to fixed rules. The sequence stops as soon as (at least) one player is ruined. We are interested in the ruin process of these N players, i.e. in the probability that a given player is ruined first, and also in the expected ruin time. This problem is called theN-player ruin
problem. In this paper, the problem is set up as a multivariate absorbing Markov chain with an absorbing state corresponding to the ruin of each player. This is then discussed
in the context of phase-type distributions where each phase is represented by a vector of
size N and the distribution has as many absorbing points as there are ruin events. We use this modified phase-type distribution to obtain an explicit solution to the N-player problem. We define a partition of the set of transient states into different levels, and on
itgive an extension of the folding algorithm (see Ye and Li (1994)). This provides an efficient computational procedure for calculating some of the key measures.
Disciplines :
Mathematics
Author, co-author :
Swan, Yvik ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de mathématique > Probabilités et statistique mathématique
Bruss, F. Thomas
Language :
English
Title :
A Matrix-Analytic approach to the N-player ruin problem
Publication date :
2006
Journal title :
Journal of Applied Probability
ISSN :
0021-9002
Publisher :
Applied Probability Trust School of Mathematics & Statistics
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