Paper published in a book (Scientific congresses and symposiums)
Uncertainty in forecasts of complex rule-based systems of travel demand: Comparative analysis of the Albatross/Feathers model system
Rasouli, Soora; Cools, Mario; Kochan, Bruno et al.
2012In Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research
Peer reviewed
 

Files


Full Text
IATBRRasoulietal-(submitted).pdf
Publisher postprint (368.82 kB)
Download

All documents in ORBi are protected by a user license.

Send to



Details



Keywords :
forecast uncertainty; activity-based models; travel demand; Albatross; Feathers
Abstract :
[en] This paper documents the results of a comparative analysis of model uncertainty of the Albatross/Feathers model system for respectively the Rotterdam region, The Netherlands and Antwerp region, Belgium. The assessment concerned the calculation of the coefficient of variation for the daily distance travelled per person. The calculations are performed both at the aggregated level and the disaggregated level (e.g. disaggregation by certain socio-demographics). Results indicate that model uncertainty differs by socio-demographic groups. Results of a regression analysis also indicate that in both regions uncertainty in daily distance travelled per person is strongly correlated with the inverse square root of the relevant socio-demographic population and the complexity of the classification, measured in terms of the number of possible classes.
Research center :
Lepur : Centre de Recherche sur la Ville, le Territoire et le Milieu rural - ULiège
LEMA - Local Environment Management and Analysis
Disciplines :
Special economic topics (health, labor, transportation...)
Civil engineering
Author, co-author :
Rasouli, Soora;  TU/e
Cools, Mario  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département Argenco : Secteur TLU+C > Transports et mobilité
Kochan, Bruno;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Arentze, Theo;  TU/e
Bellemans, Tom;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Janssens, Davy;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Timmermans, Harry;  TU/e
Language :
English
Title :
Uncertainty in forecasts of complex rule-based systems of travel demand: Comparative analysis of the Albatross/Feathers model system
Publication date :
2012
Event name :
13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research
Event date :
from 15-07-2012 to 20-07-2012
Audience :
International
Main work title :
Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research
Publisher :
International Association for Travel Behaviour Research (IATBR), Toronto, Canada
Peer reviewed :
Peer reviewed
Available on ORBi :
since 18 February 2013

Statistics


Number of views
107 (2 by ULiège)
Number of downloads
229 (1 by ULiège)

Bibliography


Similar publications



Contact ORBi