Turkey; North Anatolian Fault; Lacustrine paleoseismology
Abstract :
[en] In 1999, the large surface-rupturing earth- quakes of Izmit and Duzce completed a 60-year cycle that included a westward migration of nine consecutive large earthquake failures ([50 km surface rupture), which started with the 1939 Erzincan earthquake in eastern Turkey. In this study, we focused on seismic cycles and seismic risk predictability along the North Anatolian Fault (NAF). Toward the west end of the NAF (26°E–32°E, i.e. Bolu), large earthquake fre- quency is measured from either historic earthquake catalogs, or geologic records from isolated outcrops and marine sediment cores from the Marmara Sea. In comparison, the eastern part of the NAF zone (32°E– 42°E) is less well documented by palaeo-seismologic archives. Thus, the sediment records of lake basins located on the eastern NAF zone constitute a unique opportunity for testing a new palaeo-seismologic approach. To this end, we used a diverse array of complementary methods involving: (1) a 600-km transect of fault-related lakes, (2) sedimentologic observations on cores from six lakes, and (3) a comparison between records of catastrophic sediment transfers in lakes (i.e. radionuclide chronomarkers and erosion tracers) and historic earthquake reports. Our study indicates that lakes along the NAF are sensitive geologic recorders of large surface-rupturing earth- quakes (surface-wave magnitude (Ms) C 6.9); smaller intensities are not recorded. The most responsive lake systems exhibit increases in sediment accumulation by a factor of [40 for a [3-m strike-slip displacement (Ms C 7). However, based on results from the 1939 Erzincan earthquake (Ms = 7.8) chronostratigraphic marker, large surface-rupturing earthquakes are detected only by certain lake records and not by others. Matching multiple lake records along the NAF pro- vides information both on the location of a surface rupture of a paleo-earthquake as well as its magnitude. Finally, the shallow lake basins along the NAF could potentially document cycles of large seismic events for at least the late Holocene.
Disciplines :
Earth sciences & physical geography
Author, co-author :
Boës, X.
Moran, S. B.
King, J.
Cagatay, N.
Hubert, Aurelia ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de géographie > Géomorphologie
Language :
English
Title :
Large earthquakes Cycles in Lake Sediments along the North Anatolian Fault, Turkey
Publication date :
2009
Journal title :
Journal of Paleolimnology
ISSN :
0921-2728
eISSN :
1573-0417
Publisher :
Springer Science & Business Media B.V.
Special issue title :
[1] Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI 02881, USA - Eastern Mediterranean Centre for Oceanography and Limnology, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Issue :
10.1007/s10933-009-9376-x
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Name of the research project :
Understanding the Irregularity of Seismic Cycles: A Case Study in Turkey EU Marie Curie Excellence Grant Project (MEXT-CT-2005-025617: Seismic Cycles)
Ambraseys NN (1970) Some characteristic features of the Anatolian fault zone. Tectonophysics 9: 143-165.
Ambraseys NN (1971) Value of historical records of earthquakes. Nature 232: 375-379.
Ambraseys NN, Finkel CF (1987) Seismicity of Turkey and neighbouring regions, 1899-1915. Annales geophysicae. Series B. 5: 701-725.
Ambraseys NN, Finkel C (1995) The Seismicity of Turkey and adjacent areas. A historical review, 1500-1800. Eren, Istanbul, Turkey, p 240.
Ambraseys NN, Jackson JA (1998) Faulting associated with historical and recent earthquakes in the eastern Mediterranean region. Geophys J Int 132: 390-406.
Appleby PG (1979) 210 Pb dating of annually laminated lake sediments from Finland. Nature 280: 53-55.
Appleby PG (2001) Chronostratigraphic techniques in recent sediments. In: Last WM, Smol JP (eds) Tracking environmental change using lake sediments. Basin analysis, coring and chronological techniques, vol 1. Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, pp 171-203.
Appleby PG (2008) Three decades of dating recent sediments by fallout radionuclides: a review. Holocene 18: 83-93.
Appleby PG, Oldfield F (1978) The calculation of lead-210 dates assuming a constant rate of supply of unsupported 210 Pb to the sediment. Catena 5: 1-8.
Armijo R, Meyer B, Hubert A, Barka A (1999) Westward propagation of the North Anatolian Fault into the northern Aegean; timing and kinematics. Geology 27: 267-270.
Armijo R, Pondard N, Meyer B, Uçarkus G, Mercier De Lépinay B, Malavieille J, Dominguez S, Gutscher MA, Schmidt S, Beck C, Cagatay N, Cakir Z, Imren C, Eris K, Natalin B, Özalaybey S, Tolun L, Lefèvre I, Seeber L, Gasperini L, Rangin C, Emre O, Sarikavak K (2005) Submarine fault scarps in the sea of Marmara pull-apart (North Anatolian Fault): implications for seismic hazard in Istanbul. Geochem Geophy Geosy Q06009: 6-29.
Arnaud F, Magand O, Chapron E, Bertrand S, Boës X, Mélières MA (2006) Radionuclide profiles ( 210 Pb, 137 Cs, 241 Am) as a help for dating recent sediments in highly active geodynamic settings (Lakes Puyehue and Icalma, Chilean Lake District). Sci Total Environ 366: 837-850.
Avsar U, Hubert-Ferrari A, Fagel N, Boës X, and Schmidt S (2009) Paleolimnological and sedimentological traces of the 1943 (Ms = 7. 3) Earthquake in the sediments of Ladik Lake, Samsun/Turkey EGU, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2009. Vienna, Austria, April 2009.
Barka AA (1992) The North Anatolian fault zone. Annales Tectonicae 6: 164-195.
Barka AA (1996) Slip distribution along the North Anatolian fault associated with the large earthquakes of the period 1939 to 1967. B Seismol Soc Am 86: 1238-1254.
Barka AA (1999) The 17 August 1999 Izmit Earthquake. Science 285: 1858-1859.
Barka AA (2000) Tectonic evolution of the Niksar and Tasova-Erbaa pull-apart basins, North Anatolian Fault Zone: their significance for the motion of the Anatolian block. Tectonophysics 322: 243-264.
Barka AA, Kadinski-Cade K (1988) Strike-slip fault geometry in Turkey and its influence on earthquake activity. Tectonics 7: 663-684.
Beck C, Mercier de Lépinay B, Schneider JL, Cremer M, Çaǧatay N, Wendenbaum E, Boutareaud S, Ménot G, Schmidt S, Weber O, Eris K, Armijo R, Meyer B, Pondard N, Gutscher MA, Turon JL, Labeyrie L, Cortijo E, Gallet Y, Bouquerel H, Gorur N, Gervais A, Castera MH, Londeix L, de Rességuier A, Jaouen A (2007) Late Quaternary co-seismic sedimentation in the sea of Marmara's deep basins. Sediment Geol 199: 65-89.
Carrillo E, Beck C, Audemard MF, Moreno E, Ollarves R (2008) Disentangling Late Quaternary climatic and seismo-tectonic controls on Lake Mucubaji sedimentation (Mérida Andes, Venezuela). Paleogeogr Paleoclim Paleoecol 259: 284-300.
Carroll JL, Lerche I, Abraham JD, Cisar DJ (1995) Model-determined sediment ages from 210 Pb profiles in un-mixed sediments. Nucl Geophys 9: 553-565.
Ergin K, Guclu U, Uz Z (1967) A catalogue of earthquakes for Turkey and surrounding area. Publ. Techn. Univ. Istanbul, Turkey, p 169.
Eyidogan H, Güçlü U, Utku Z, Degirmenci E (1991). Türkiye Büyük Depremleri Makro-Sismik Rehberi (1900-1988), ITÜ MF Jeofizik Mühendisligi Bölümü Yayi{dotless}nlari{dotless} s 200.
Hartleb RD, Dolan JF, Akyüz HS, Yerli B (2003) A 2000-year-long paleoseismologic record of earthquakes along the central North Anatolian Fault, from trenches at Alayurt, Turkey. B Seismol Soc Am 93: 1935-1954.
Hartleb RD, Dolan JF, Kozaci O, Akyüz HS, Seitz GG (2006) A 2500-year-long paleoseismologic record of large, infrequent earthquakes on the North Anatolian fault at Çukurçimen, Turkey. GSA Bulletin 118: 823-840.
Hitchcock C, Altunel E, Barka A, Bachhuber J, Lettis W, Helms J, Lindvall S (2003) Timing of late holocene earthquakes on the Eastern Düzce Fault and implications for slip transfer between the southern and northern strands of the North Anatolian Fault System, Bolu, Turkey. Turk J. Earth Sci 12: 119-136.
Hubert-Ferrari A, King G, Manighetti I, Armijo R, Meyer B, Tapponnier P (2003) Long-term elasticity in the continental lithosphere; modelling the Aden Ridge propagation and the Anatolian extrusion process. Geophys J Int 153: 111-132.
Inouchi Y, Kinugasa Y, Kumon F, Nakano S, Yasumatsu S, Shiki T (1996) Turbidites as records of intense palaeoearthquakes in Lake Biwa, Japan. Sediment Geol 104: 117-125.
Ken-Tor R, Agnon A, Enzel Y, Stein M, Marco S, Negendank JFW (2001) High-resolution geological record of historic earthquakes in the Dead Sea basin. J Geophys Res 106: 2221-2234.
Leroy S, Kazanci{dotless} N, Ileri O, Kibar M, Emre O, McGee E, Griffiths HI (2002) Abrupt environmental changes within a late Holocene lacustrine sequence south of the Marmara Sea (Lake Manyas, N-W Turkey): possible links with seismic events. Mar Geol 190: 531-552.
Marco S, Stein M, Agnon A, Ron H (1996) Long-term earthquake clustering: a 50, 000-year paleoseismic record in the Dead Sea Graben. J Geophys Res 101: 6179-6191.
McHugh CMG, Seeber L, Cormier MH, Dutton J, Cagatay N, Polonia A, Ryan WBF, Gorur N (2006) Submarine earthquake geology along the North Anatolia Fault in the Marmara Sea, Turkey: a model for transform basin sedimentation. Earth Planet Sc Lett 248: 661-684.
Migowski C, Agnon A, Bookman R, Negendank JFW, Stein M (2004) Recurrence pattern of Holocene earthquakes along the Dead Sea transform revealed by varve-counting and radiocarbon dating of lacustrine sediments. Earth Planet Sc Lett 222: 301-314.
Pantosti D, Pucci S, Palyvos N, De Martini PM, D'Addezio G, Collins PEF, Zabci C (2008) Paleoearthquakes of the Düzce fault (North Anatolian Fault Zone): insights for large surface faulting earthquake recurrence. J Geophys Res 113: 1-20.
Polonia A, Gasperini L, Amorosi A, Bonatti E, Bortoluzzi G, Çagatay N, Capotondi L, Cormier MH, Gorur N, McHugh C, Seeber L (2004) Holocene slip rate of the North Anatolian Fault beneath the Sea of Marmara. Earth Planet Sc Lett 227: 411-426.
Reilinger RE, McClusky SC, Oral MB, King W, Toksöz MN (1997) Global positioning, system measurements of present-day crustal movements in the Arabian-Africa-Eurasia plate collision zone. J Geophys Res 102: 9983-9999.
Sengor AMC (2005) The North Anatolian Fault: a new look. Annu Rev Earth Pl Sc 33: 37-112.
Shiki T, Kumon F, Inouchi Y, Kontani Y, Sakamoto T, Tateishi M, Matsubara H, Fukuyama K (2000) Sedimentary features of the seismo-turbidites, Lake Biwa, Japan. Sediment geol 135: 37-50.
Stein RS, Barka AA, Dieterich JH (1997) Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering. Geophys J Int 128: 594-604.
Sugai T, Awata Y, Toda S, Emre Ö, Dogan A, Ozalp S, Haraguchi T, Kinoshita H, Takada K, Yamaguchi M (2001) Paleoseismic investigation of the 1999 Düzce earthquake fault at Lake Efteni, North Anatolian fault system, Turkey. Annual Report on Active Fault and Paleoearthquake Researches No. 1. Active Fault Research Center, Japan, pp 339-351.
Tan O, Tapirdamaz MC, Yoruk A (2007) The earthquake catalogues for Turkey. Turk J of Earth Sci 17: 405-418.
Turekian KK, Cochran JK (1978) Determination of marine chronologies using natural radionuclides. In: Riley JP, Chester R (eds) Chemical oceanography, vol 7. Academic Press, New York, pp 313-360.
Westaway R (1994) Present-day kinematics of the Middle-East and Eastern Mediterranean. J Geophys Res 99: 12071-12090.