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The heterogeneous response of financial uncertainty to monetary policy
Crucil, Romain; Hambuckers, Julien
2025
 

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Keywords :
high-frequency identification; uncertainty; stochastic volatility
Abstract :
[en] Understanding monetary policy transmission to financial markets is crucial for policymakers and investors, but existing literature focuses on first-order effects and market-wide aggregated measures. To address this gap, the present paper investigates the responses of asset class-specific financial uncertainty to distinct dimensions of monetary policy shocks. We conduct our analysis with a Bayesian extended stochastic volatility model, allowing for the effect of monetary policy shocks on second-order moments used to compute our uncertainty measures. Then, we decompose monetary policy shocks into changes in the yield curve's level, slope, and curvature during a high-frequency time window around policy announcements, refining previous approaches relying on daily changes. Applying this approach to a wide array of 47 sovereign bonds, corporate bonds, stocks, and exchange rates in the euro area, we document heterogeneous and persistent effects of these shocks on asset-specific financial uncertainty.
Disciplines :
Macroeconomics & monetary economics
Author, co-author :
Crucil, Romain ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > HEC Liège Research
Hambuckers, Julien  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > HEC Liège Research > HEC Liège Research: Financial Management for the Future
Language :
English
Title :
The heterogeneous response of financial uncertainty to monetary policy
Publication date :
19 August 2025
Available on ORBi :
since 20 August 2025

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