Chemistry (all); Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology (all); Physics and Astronomy (all)
Abstract :
[en] A detailed assessment of a low energy demand, 1.5 ∘C compatible pathway is provided for Europe from a bottom-up, country scale modelling perspective. The level of detail enables a clear representation of the potential of sufficiency measures. Results show that by 2050, 50% final energy demand reduction compared to 2019 is possible in Europe, with at least 40% of it attributable to various sufficiency measures across all sectors. This reduction enables a 77% renewable energy share in 2040 and 100% in 2050, with very limited need for imports from outside of Europe and no carbon sequestration technologies. Sufficiency enables increased fairness between countries through the convergence towards a more equitable share of energy service levels. Here we show, that without sufficiency measures, Europe misses the opportunity to transform energy demand leaving considerable pressure on supply side changes combined with unproven carbon removal technologies.
Disciplines :
Energy
Author, co-author :
Wiese, Frauke ; Department of Sustainable Energy Transition, Europa-Universität Flensburg, Flensburg, Germany. frauke.wiese@uni-flensburg.de
Taillard, Nicolas ; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Balembois, Emile ; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Best, Benjamin; City of Bonn, Climate Neutral Bonn 2035 Program Office, Bonn, Germany
Bourgeois, Stephane ; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Campos, José ; Department of Environmental and Landscape Geography, ELTE University, Budapest, Hungary
Cordroch, Luisa ; Department of Sustainable Energy Transition, Europa-Universität Flensburg, Flensburg, Germany
Djelali, Mathilde; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Gabert, Alexandre; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Jacob, Adrien ; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Johnson, Elliott; Sustainability Research Institute, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Meyer, Sébastien ; negaWatt Belgium, Rue du Blanc-Ry 163, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, 1342, Belgium ; Institute of Mechanics, Materials and Civil engineering, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Munkácsy, Béla ; Department of Environmental and Landscape Geography, ELTE University, Budapest, Hungary
Pagliano, Lorenzo ; Architecture and Urban Studies Department, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
Quoilin, Sylvain ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'aérospatiale et mécanique > Systèmes énergétiques
Roscetti, Andrea ; Architecture and Urban Studies Department, Politecnico di Milano, Italy ; Università della Svizzera italiana, Accademia di Architettura, Architettura, Switzerland
Thema, Johannes ; Department of Sustainable Energy Transition, Europa-Universität Flensburg, Flensburg, Germany ; Energy, Transport and Climate Policy Division, Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Wuppertal, Germany
Thiran, Paolo ; Institute of Mechanics, Materials and Civil engineering, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Toledano, Adrien; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
Vogel, Bendix; Department of Sustainable Energy Transition, Europa-Universität Flensburg, Flensburg, Germany ; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) e.V., Potsdam, Germany
Zell-Ziegler, Carina ; Department of Landscape Planning and Development, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany ; Energy & Climate Division, Oeko-Institut, Berlin, Germany
Marignac, Yves ; négaWatt Association, BP 16280 Alixan, 26958, VALENCE Cedex 9, France
F.W, J.T., C.Z-Z. are funded by German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF), within the framework of the Strategy Research for Sustainability (FONA), as part of its Social-Ecological Research funding priority (grant numbers 01UU2004A, 01UU2004B, 01UU2004C). N.T., S.B., M.D., A.G., A.J., A.T. and Y.M. received funding in 2022 and 2023 for the CLEVER project from the European Climate Foundation (ECF) (grant number 2201-63204), from the Fondation pour le Progr\u00E8s de l\u2019Homme, from the endowment fund Watt For Change (grant number 21-49) and the French Agency for Ecological Transition (ADEME) (grant number 22ESD0042). B.M., J.C., S.M., A.R., L.P. and B.V. were in 2022 partly funded for the CLEVER project by the European Climate Foundation (ECF) (grant number 2201-63204). E.J. received funding from the Energy Demand Research Centre (EDRC) (UKRI grant award EP/Y010078/1). P.T. is funded by the Energy Transition Fund from FPS Economy, which represents the Belgian Minister of Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development. L.P. and A.R. received funding from the project FULFILL - Fundamental Decarbonisation Through Sufficiency By Lifestyle Changes, funded by the European Union\u2019s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant Agreement No. 101003656). We acknowledge financial support by Land Schleswig-Holstein within the funding programme Open Access-Publikationsfonds.
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