Abstract :
[en] Gravitational time delays provide a powerful one step measurement of $H_0$,
independent of all other probes. One key ingredient in time delay cosmography
are high accuracy lens models. Those are currently expensive to obtain, both,
in terms of computing and investigator time (10$^{5-6}$ CPU hours and $\sim$
0.5-1 year, respectively). Major improvements in modeling speed are therefore
necessary to exploit the large number of lenses that are forecast to be
discovered over the current decade. In order to bypass this roadblock, building
on the work by Shajib et al. (2019), we develop an automated modeling pipeline
and apply it to a sample of 30 quadruply imaged quasars and one lensed compact
galaxy, observed by the Hubble Space Telescope in multiple bands. Our automated
pipeline can derive models for 30/31 lenses with few hours of human time and
<100 CPU hours of computing time for a typical system. For each lens, we
provide measurements of key parameters and predictions of magnification as well
as time delays for the multiple images. We characterize the
cosmography-readiness of our models using the stability of differences in
Fermat potential (proportional to time delay) w.r.t. modeling choices. We find
that for 10/30 lenses our models are cosmography or nearly cosmography grade
(<3% and 3-5% variations). For 6/30 lenses the models are close to cosmography
grade (5-10%). These results are based on informative priors and will need to
be confirmed by further analysis. However, they are also likely to improve by
extending the pipeline modeling sequence and options. In conclusion, we show
that uniform cosmography grade modeling of large strong lens samples is within
reach.
Funders :
NASA - National Aeronautics and Space Administration
ESA - European Space Agency
STSCI - Space Telescope Science Institute
NSF - National Science Foundation
David and Lucile Packard Foundation
SNSF - Swiss National Science Foundation
ERC - European Research Council
FONDECYT - National Fund for Scientific and Technological Development
ANID - Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo
Kavli Foundation
Hille Foundation
SFTC - Science and Technology Facilities Council
JSPS - Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
MPG - Max Planck Society
DFG - Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
DOE - United States. Department of Energy
UIUC - University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
University of Chicago
OSU - The Ohio State University
Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos
FAPERJ - Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
ANL - Argonne National Laboratory
University of Cambridge
CIEMAT - Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas
UCL - University College London
University of Edinburgh
ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
UMich - University of Michigan–Ann Arbor
UoN - University of Nottingham
Upenn - University of Pennsylvania
University of Portsmouth
SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory
Stanford University
University of Sussex
MICINN
Generalitat de Catalunya
Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia em Toxinas
EU - European Union
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