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28 May 2020
Article (Scientific journals)
Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests
Sullivan, Martin J.P.; Lewis, Simon L.; Affum-Baffoe, Kofi et al.
2020 • In Science, 368, p. 869-874
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Keywords :
Thermal sensitivity; Tropical forests; Climate change; Forest carbon; Biomass; Resilience; Long-term response
Abstract :
[en] The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.
Disciplines :
Phytobiology (plant sciences, forestry, mycology...)
Environmental sciences & ecology
Author, co-author :
Sullivan, Martin J.P.
Lewis, Simon L.
Affum-Baffoe, Kofi
Castilho, Carolina
Costa, Flàvia
Cuni Sanchez, Aida
Ewango, Corneille E.N.
Hubau, Wannes
Marimon, Beatriz
Monteagudo-Mendoza, Abel
Qie, Lan
Herrera, Rafael
Higuchi, Niro
Hladik, Annette
Honorio Coronado, Eurídice
Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau
Huaraca Huasco, Walter
Jeffery, Kathryn J.
Jimenez-Rojas, Eliana
Kalamandeen, Michelle
Kamdem Djuikouo, Marie Noël
Sonké, Bonaventure
Kearsley, Elizabeth
Keichi Umetsu, Ricardo
Khoon Kho, Lip
Killeen, Timothy
Kitayama, Kanehiro
Klitgaard, Bente
Koch, Alexander
Labrière, Nicolas
Laurance, William
Laurance, Susan
Vasquez Martinez, Rodolfo
Leal, Miguel E.
Levesley, Aurora
Lima, Adriano J.N.
Lisingo, Janvier
Lopes, Aline P.
Lopez-Gonzalez, Gabriela
Lovejoy, Tom
Lovett, Jon C.
Lowe, Richard
Magnusson, William E.
Baker, Thimothy R.
Malumbres-Olarte, Jagoba
Manzatto, Ângelo Gilberto
Marimon Jr., Ben Hur
Marshall, Andrew R.
Marthews, Toby
Matias de Almeida Reis, Simone
Maycock, Colin
Melgaço, Karina
Mendoza, Casimiro
Metali, Faizah
Brienen, Roel J.W.
Mihindou, Vianet
Milliken, William
Mitchard, Edward T.A.
Morandi, Paulo S.
Mossman, Hannah L.
Nagy, Laszlo
Nascimento, Henrique
Neill, David
Nilus, Reuben
Núñez Vargas, Percy
Feldpausch, Ted R.
Palacios, Walter
Pallqui Camacho, Nadir
Peacock, Julie
Pendry, Colin
Peñuela Mora, Maria Cristina
Pickavance, Georgia C.
Pipoly, John
Pitman, Nigel
Playfair, Maureen
Poorter, Lourens
Galbraith, David
Poulsen, John R.
Dalberg Poulsen, Axel
Preziosi, Richard
Prieto, Adriana
Primack, Richard B.
Ramírez-Angulo, Hirma
Reitsma, Jan
Réjou-Méchain, Maxime
Restrepo Correa, Zorayda
Rodrigues de Sousa, Thaiane
Gloor, Manuel
Rodriguez Bayona, Lily
Roopsind, Anand
Rudas, Agustín
Rutishauser, Ervan
Abu Salim, Kamariah
Salomão, Rafael P.
Schietti, Juliana
Sheil, Douglas
Silva, Richarlly C.
Silva Espejo, Javier
Malhi, Yadvinder
Silva Valeria, Camila
Silveira, Marcos
Simo-Droissart, Murielle
Fragomeni Simon, Marcelo
Singh, James
Soto Shareva, Yahn Carlos
Stahl, Clement
Stropp, Juliana
Sukri, Rahayu
Sunderland, Terry
Aiba, Shin-Ichiro
Svátek, Martin
Swaine, Michael D.
Swamy, Varun
Taedoumg, Hermann
Talbot, Joey
Taplin, James
Taylor, David
ter Steege, Hans
Terborgh, John
Thomas, Thomas
Alexiades, Miguel N.
Thomas, Sean C.
Torres-Lezama, Armando
Umunay, Peter
Valenzuela Gamarra, Luis
van der Heijden, Geertje
van der Hout, Peter
van der Meer, Peter
van Nieuwstadt, Mark
Verbeeck, Hans
Vernimmen, Ronald
Almeida, Everton C.
Vicentini, Alberto
Guimarães Vieira, Ima Célia
Vilanova Torre, Emilio
Vleminckx, Jason
Vos, Vincent
Wang, Ophelia
White, Lee J.T.
Willcock, Simon
Woods, John T.
Wortel, Verginia
Almeida de Oliveira, Edmar
Young, Kenneth
Zagt, Roderick
Zemagho, Lise
Zuidema, Pieter A.
Zwerts, Joeri A.
Phillips, Oliver L.
Álvarez Dávila, Esteban
Alvarez Loayza, Patricia
Andrade, Ana
Aparecida Vieira, Simone
Aragão, Luiz E.O.C.
Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro
Arets, J.M.M.
Arroyo, Luzmila
Ashton, Peter
Aymard C., Gerardo
Baccaro, Fabrício B.
Banin, Lindsay F.
Baraloto, Christopher
Barbosa Camargo, Plínio
Barlow, Jos
Barroso, Jorcely
Bastin, Jean-François  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département GxABT > Biodiversité et Paysage
Batterman, Sarah A.
Beeckman, Hans
Begne, Serge K.
Bennett, Amy C.
Berenguer, Erika
Berry, Nicholas
Blanc, Lilian
Boeckx, Pascal
Bogaert, Jan  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département GxABT > Biodiversité et Paysage
Bonal, Damien
Bongers, Frans
Bradford, Matt
Brearley, Francis Q.
Brncic, Terry
Brown, Foster
Burban, Benoît
Camargo, José Luís
Castro, Wendeson
Céron, Carlos
Cerruto Ribeiro, Sabina
Chama Moscoso, Victor
Chave, Jérôme
Chezeaux, Eric
Clark, Connie J.
Coelho de Souza, Fernanda
Collins, Murray
Comiskey, James A.
Cornejo Valverde, Fernando
Corrales Medina, Massiel
da Costa, Lola
Dancák, Martin
Dargie, Greta C.
Davies, Stuart
Davila Cardozo, Nallaret
de Haulleville, Thales
Brilhante de Medeiros, Marcelo
del Aguila Pasquel, Jhon
Derroire, Géraldine
Di Fiore, Anthony
Doucet, Jean-Louis ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Département GxABT > Laboratoire de Foresterie des régions trop. et subtropicales
Dourdain, Aurélie
Droissant, Vincent
Duque, Luisa Fernanda
Ekoungoulou, Romeo
Elias, Fernando
Erwin, Terry
Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane
Fauset, Sophie
Ferreira, Joice
Flores Llampazo, Gerardo
Foli, Ernest
Ford, Andrew
Gilpin, Martin
Hall, Jefferson S.
Hamer, Keith C.
Hamilton, Alan C.
Harris, David J.
Hart, Terese B.
Hédl, Radim
Herault, Bruno
More authors (216 more) Less
Language :
English
Title :
Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests
Publication date :
22 May 2020
Journal title :
Science
ISSN :
0036-8075
eISSN :
1095-9203
Publisher :
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Volume :
368
Pages :
869-874
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi

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