Article (Scientific journals)
Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein
Asseng, S.; Martre, P.; Maiorano, A. et al.
2019In Global Change Biology, 25 (1), p. 155-173
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Keywords :
climate change adaptation; climate change impact; food security; grain protein; wheat
Abstract :
[en] Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by −1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of −8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
Disciplines :
Computer science
Agriculture & agronomy
Author, co-author :
Asseng, S.;  Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Martre, P.;  LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France
Maiorano, A.;  LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France, European Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy
Rötter, R. P.;  Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany, Centre of Biodiversity and Sustainable Land Use (CBL), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
O’Leary, G. J.;  Department of Economic Development Jobs, Transport and Resources, Grains Innovation Park, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, VIC, Australia
Fitzgerald, G. J.;  Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, VIC, Australia, Faculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Creswick, VIC, Australia
Girousse, C.;  UMR GDEC, INRA, Université Clermont Auvergne, Clermont-Ferrand, France
Motzo, R.;  Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy
Giunta, F.;  Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy
Babar, M. A.;  World Food Crops Breeding, Department of Agronomy, IFAS, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Reynolds, M. P.;  CIMMYT Int, Mexico D.F, Mexico
Kheir, A. M. S.;  Soils, Water and Environment Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt
Thorburn, P. J.;  CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
Waha, K.;  CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
Ruane, A. C.;  NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
Aggarwal, P. K.;  CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, BISA-CIMMYT, New Delhi, India
Ahmed, M.;  Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States, Department of Agronomy, Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
Balkovič, J.;  International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria, Department of Soil Science, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia
Basso, B.;  Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States, W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
Biernath, C.;  Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
Bindi, M.;  Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy
Cammarano, D.;  James Hutton Institute, Dundee, Scotland, United Kingdom
Challinor, A. J.;  Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, Collaborative Research Program from CGIAR and Future Earth on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia
De Sanctis, G.;  GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy
Dumont, Benjamin  ;  Université de Liège - ULiège > Agronomie, Bio-ingénierie et Chimie (AgroBioChem) > Ingénierie des productions végétales et valorisation
Eyshi Rezaei, E.;  Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany, Department of Crop Sciences, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
Fereres, E.;  IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain
Ferrise, R.;  Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy
Garcia-Vila, M.;  IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain
Gayler, S.;  Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany
Gao, Y.;  Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Horan, H.;  CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
Hoogenboom, G.;  Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Izaurralde, R. C.;  Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M University, Temple, TX, United States
Jabloun, M.;  Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Tjele, Denmark
Jones, C. D.;  Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States
Kassie, B. T.;  Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Kersebaum, K.-C.;  Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany
Klein, C.;  Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
Koehler, A.-K.;  Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Liu, B.;  Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
Minoli, S.;  Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Montesino San Martin, M.;  Plant & Environment Sciences, University Copenhagen, Taastrup, Denmark
Müller, C.;  Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Naresh Kumar, S.;  Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi, India
Nendel, C.;  Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany
Olesen, J. E.;  Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Tjele, Denmark
Palosuo, T.;  Montpellier SupAgro, INRA, CIHEAM–IAMM, CIRAD, University Montpellier, Montpellier, France
Porter, J. R.;  Plant & Environment Sciences, University Copenhagen, Taastrup, Denmark, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand, Montpellier SupAgro, INRA, CIHEAM–IAMM, CIRAD, University Montpellier, Montpellier, France
Priesack, E.;  Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
Ripoche, D.;  US AgroClim, INRA, Paris, France
Semenov, M. A.;  Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, United Kingdom
Stöckle, C.;  Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States
Stratonovitch, P.;  Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, United Kingdom
Streck, T.;  Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany
Supit, I.;  Water & Food and Water Systems & Global Change Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
Tao, F.;  Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Helsinki, Finland, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China
Van der Velde, M.;  Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Ispra, Italy
Wallach, D.;  INRA UMR AGIR, Castanet-Tolosan, France
Wang, E.;  CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Webber, H.;  Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany
Wolf, J.;  Plant Production Systems, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
Xiao, L.;  National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
Zhang, Z.;  State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
Zhao, Zhigan
Zhu, Y.;  National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
Ewert, F.;  Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany
More authors (57 more) Less
Language :
English
Title :
Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein
Publication date :
2019
Journal title :
Global Change Biology
ISSN :
1354-1013
eISSN :
1365-2486
Publisher :
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Volume :
25
Issue :
1
Pages :
155-173
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Available on ORBi :
since 25 April 2019

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