Error in the estimation of emission factors for forest degradation in central Africa

Picard, N.; Henry, M.; Fonton, N.H.; Kondaoulé; Fayolle, Adeline; Birigazzi, L.; Sola, G.; Poultouchidou, A.; Trotta, C.; Maïdou, H.

doi:10.1007/s10310-015-0510-5

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Error in the estimation of emission factors for forest degradation in central Africa

Picard, N.; Henry, M.; Fonton, N.H. et al.

2016 • In Journal of Forest Research

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https://hdl.handle.net/2268/203203

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10.1007/s10310-015-0510-5

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Keywords :

Aboveground biomass; African moist forest; Allometric equation; Error propagation; Prediction error

Abstract :

[en] The implementation of forest-based projects to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions requires the estimation of emission factors (here the difference in biomass stocks between two forest types). The estimation of these quan- tities using forest inventory data and allometric models implies different sources of errors that need to be prioritized to improve the precision of estimation. Using data from permanent sample plots in a tropical moist forest in central Africa and considering four allometric models with equal likelihood, the largest source of error in the estimate of the difference of biomass between intact and logged-over forest was that due to the model choice (40 % of the sum of squares). The error due to the model choice did not cancel out in the difference due to an interaction between the model’s prediction and the diameter structure of the forest. The variability in biomass between plots was the second largest source of error, but was underestimated because of post-stratiﬁcation. The error due to the model choice could be reduced by weighting the models’predictions.

Disciplines :

Agriculture & agronomy
Phytobiology (plant sciences, forestry, mycology...)

Author, co-author :

Picard, N.

Henry, M.

Fonton, N.H.

Kondaoulé

Fayolle, Adeline ; Université de Liège > Ingénierie des biosystèmes (Biose) > Gestion des ressources forestières et des milieux naturels

Birigazzi, L.

Sola, G.

Poultouchidou, A.

Trotta, C.

Maïdou, H.

Language :

English

Title :

Error in the estimation of emission factors for forest degradation in central Africa

Publication date :

2016

Journal title :

Journal of Forest Research

ISSN :

1341-6979

eISSN :

1610-7403

Publisher :

Springer Science & Business Media B.V.

Peer reviewed :

Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi

Available on ORBi :

since 07 November 2016

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