Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5
Svalbard; regional climate model; surface mass balance
Abstract :
[en] We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the south causing larger increase of absorbed solar radiation. The ablation area is projected to disappear over the entire Svalbard by 2085. The SMB decrease compared to present is projected to contribute 7mm to SLR.
Disciplines :
Earth sciences & physical geography
Author, co-author :
Lang, Charlotte ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie
Fettweis, Xavier ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie
Erpicum, Michel ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie
Language :
English
Title :
Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5
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