Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5

Lang, Charlotte; Fettweis, Xavier; Erpicum, Michel

doi:10.5194/tc-9-945-2015

Article (Scientific journals)

Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5

Lang, Charlotte; Fettweis, Xavier; Erpicum, Michel

2015 • In The Cryosphere, 9, p. 945 - 956

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https://hdl.handle.net/2268/181297

DOI
10.5194/tc-9-945-2015

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Keywords :

Svalbard; regional climate model; surface mass balance

Abstract :

[en] We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the south causing larger increase of absorbed solar radiation. The ablation area is projected to disappear over the entire Svalbard by 2085. The SMB decrease compared to present is projected to contribute 7mm to SLR.

Disciplines :

Earth sciences & physical geography

Author, co-author :

Lang, Charlotte ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie

Fettweis, Xavier ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie

Erpicum, Michel ; Université de Liège > Département de géographie > Climatologie et Topoclimatologie

Language :

English

Title :

Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5

Publication date :

07 May 2015

Journal title :

The Cryosphere

ISSN :

1994-0416

eISSN :

1994-0424

Publisher :

Copernicus, Katlenberg-Lindau, Germany

Volume :

Pages :

945 - 956

Peer reviewed :

Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi

Additional URL :

http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/945/2015/tc-9-945-2015.html

Available on ORBi :

since 08 May 2015

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