Raghunathan, Poornima ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de Biologie, Ecologie et Evolution > Biologie du comportement - Ethologie et psychologie animale
François, Louis ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'astrophys., géophysique et océanographie (AGO) > Modélisation du climat et des cycles biogéochimiques
Huynen, Marie-Claude ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de Biologie, Ecologie et Evolution > Biologie du comportement - Ethologie et psychologie animale
Oliveira, Leonardo; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, CP. 68020, Rio de Janeiro, CEP 21941-590, Brazil, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia e Conservação da Biodiversidade, Universidade Estadual de Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, Brazil, Bicho do Mato Instituto de Pesquisa, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
Hambuckers, Alain ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de Biologie, Ecologie et Evolution > Biologie du comportement - Ethologie et psychologie animale
Language :
English
Title :
Modelling the distribution of key tree species used by lion tamarins in the Brazilian Atlantic forest under a scenario of future climate change
Alo C, Wang G (2008) Potential future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on climate projections by eight general circulation models. J Geophys Res 113:1–16
Berg M, Kiers T, Driessen G, van der Heijden M, Kooi B, Kuenen F, Liefting M, Verhoef H, Ellers J (2010) Adapt or disperse: understanding species persistence in a changing world. Glob Change Biol 16:587–598
Berry J, Björkman O (1980) Photosynthetic response and adaptation to temperature in higher plants. Ann Rev Plant Physiol 31:491–543
Bertrand R, Lenoir J, Piedallu C, Riofrío-Dillon G, de Ruffray P, Vidal C, Pierrat JC, Gégout JC (2011) Changes in plant community composition lag behind climate warming in lowland forests. Nat 479:517–520
Brooker R, Travis J, Clark E, Dytham C (2007) Modelling species’ range shifts in a changing climate: the impacts of biotic interactions, dispersal distance and the rate of climate change. J Theor Biol 245:59–65
Cannell M, Thornley J (1998) Temperature and CO2 response of leaf and canopy photosynthesis: a clarification using non-rectangular hyperbola model of photosynthesis. Ann Bot 82:883–892
Catenacci L (2008) Ecologia alimentar do mico-leão-da-cara-dourada (primates: Callitrichidae) em áreas degradadas da Mata Atlântica do Sul da Bahia. Dissertation, Universidade Estadual de Santa Cruz, Brazil
Chen I, Hill J, Ohlemuller R, Roy D, Thomas C (2011) Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Sci 333:1024–1026
Clusella-Trullas S, Blackburn T, Chown S (2011) Climatic predictors of temperature performance curve parameters in ectotherms imply complex responses to climate change. Am Nat 177:738–751
Colombo A, Joly C (2010) Brazilian Atlantic Forest lato sensu: the most ancient Brazilian forest, and a biodiversity hotspot, is highly threatened by climate change. Braz J Biol 70:697–708
Colwell R, Brehm G, Cardelús C, Gilman A, Longino J (2008) Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Sci 322:258–261
Cramer W, Bondeau A, Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Smith B, Sitch S (2004) Tropical forests and the global carbon cycle: impacts of atmospheric carbon dioxide, climate change and rate of deforestation. Philos Trans R Soc (Biol Sci) 359:331–343
DeFries R (2002) Past and future sensitivity of primary production to human modification of the landscape. Geophys Res Lett 29:1132–1136
Dury M, Hambuckers A, Warnant P, Henrot A, Favre E, Ouberdous M, François L (2011) Response of the European forests to climate change: a modelling approach for the 21st century. iForest Biogeosci For 4:82–99
Feeley K, Silman M (2011) The data void in modelling current and future distributions of tropical species. Glob Change Biol 17:626–630
Fitter A, Hay R (2002) Environmental physiology of plants, 3rd edn. Academic Press, San Diego
François L, Delire C, Warnant P, Munhoven G (1998) Modelling the glacial-interglacial changes in the continental biosphere. Glob Planet Change 17:37–52
François L, Ghislain M, Otto D, Micheels A (2006) Late Miocene vegetation reconstruction with the CARAIB model. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 238:302–320
François L, Utescher T, Favre E, Henrot A, Warnant P, Micheels A, Erdei B, Suc J, Cheddadi R, Mosbrugger V (2011) Modelling late Miocene vegetation in Europe: results of the CARAIB model and comparison with palaeovegetation data. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 304:359–378
Gérard J, Nemry B, François L, Warnant P (1999) The interannual change of atmospheric CO2: contribution of subtropical ecosystems? Geophys Res Lett 26:243–246
Gian-Reto W, Beißner S, Burga C (2005) Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants. J Veg Sci 16:541–548
González-Megías A, Menéndez R, Roy D, Brereton T, Thomas C (2008) Changes in the composition of British butterfly assemblages over two decades. Glob Change Biol 14:1464–1474
Gopalakrishnan R, Jayaraman M, Swarnim S, Chaturvedi R, Bala G, Ravindranath N (2011) Impact of climate change at species level: a case study of teak in India. Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Change 16:199–209
Henrot A, François L, Favre E, Butzin M, Ouberdous M, Munhoven G (2010) Effects of CO2, continental distribution, topography and vegetation changes on the climate at the Middle Miocene: a model study. Clim Past 6:675–694
Hughes L (2000) Biological consequences of global warming: is the signal already. Trends Ecol Evol 15:56–61
Huey R, Kearney M, Krockenberger A, Holtum J, Jess M, Williams S (2012) Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology, and adaptation. Philos Trans R Soc Lond Biol Sci 367:1665–1679
IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
IUCN (2013) IUCN red list of threatened species. Version 2013.2. www.iucnredlist.org. Downloaded on 08 April 2014
Keith D, Resit Akçakaya H, Thuiller W, Midgley G, Pearson R, Phillips S, Regan H, Araújo M, Rebelo T (2008) Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Glob Change Biol 4:560–563
Kozlowski T, Pallardy S (1997) Growth control in woody plants. In: Mooney HA (ed) Physiological ecology. Academic Press, San Diego, p 641
Landis R, Koch G (1977) The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics 33:159–174
Lapenta M, Procópio de Oliveira P, Kierluff M, Motta-Junior J (2003) Fruit exploitation by Golden Lion Tamarins (Leontopithecus rosalia) in the União Biological Reserve, Rio das Ostras, RJ-Brazil. Mammalia 67:41–46
Laurent J, Bar-hen A, François L, Ghislain M, Cheddadi R (2004) Refining vegetation simulation models: from plant functional types to bioclimatic affinity groups of plants. J Veg Sci 15:739–746
Lenoir J, Gégout J, Marquet P, de Ruffray P, Brisse H (2008) A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century. Science 320:1768–1771
Lewis S et al. (2009) Increasing carbon storage in intact African tropical forests. Nat 457:1003–1007
Lloyd J, Farquhar G (2008) Effects of rising temperatures and [CO2] on the physiology of tropical forest trees. Phil Trans Roy Soc Lond Biol Sci 363:1811–1817
Lurgi M, López B, Montoya J (2012) Climate change impacts on body size and food web structure on mountain ecosystems. Philos Trans Roy Soc 367:3050–3057
Mistry J (2000) World savannas, Ecology and human uses. Pearson Education Limited, Harlow, UK
Mittermeier R, Robles Gil P, Hoffman M, Pilgrim J, Brooks T, Mittermeier C, Lamoreux J, Fonseca G (eds) (2005) Hotspots revisited: earth’s biologically richest and most endangered terrestrial ecoregions. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
Myers N, Mittermeier R, Mittermeier C, Fonseca G, Kent J (2000) Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature 403:853–858
Nepstad D, Stickler C, Soares-Filho B, Merry F (2008) Interactions among Amazon land use, forests and climate: prospects for a near-term forest tipping point. R Soc 36:1–10
New M, Lister D, Hulme M, Makin I (2002) A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas. Clim Res 21:1–25
Nobre P, Malagutti M, Urbano D, Almeida R, Giarolla E (2009) Amazon deforestation and climate change in a couple model simulation. J Clim 22:5686–5697
Nobre P, Siqueira L, Almeida R, Malagutti M, Giarolla E, Castelão G, Bottino M, Kubota P, Figueroa S, Costa M, Baptista M, Irber L, Marcondes G (2013) Climate simulation and change in the Brazilian Climate Model. J Clim 26:6716–6732
Oliveira L, Hankerson S, Dietz J, Raboy B (2010) Key tree species for the golden-headed lion tamarin and implications for shade-cocoa management in southern Bahia, Brazil. Anim Conserv 13:60–70
Oliveira L, Neves L, Raboy B, Dietz J (2011) Abundance of Jackfruit (Artocarpus heterophyllus) affects group characteristics and use of space by Golden-Headed Lion Tamarins (Leontopithecus chrysomelas) in cabruca agroforest. Environ Manage 48:248–262
Otto D, Rasse D, Kaplan J, Warnant P, François L (2002) Biospheric carbon stocks reconstructed at the Last Glacial Maximum: comparison between general circulation models using prescribed and computed sea surface temperatures. Glob Planet Change 33:117–138
Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 42:35–42
Preston K, Rotenberry J, Redak R, Allen M (2008) Habitat shifts of endangered species under altered climate conditions: importance of biotic interactions. Glob Change Biol 14:2501–2515
Possiel W, Saunier R, Meganck R (1995) In-situ conservation of biodiversity. In: Saubier RE, Meganck RA, (eds) Conservation of biodiversity and the regional planning. Organization of American States and the IUCN–The World Conservation Union
Raxworthy C, Pearson R, Rabibisoa N, Rakotondrazafy A, Ramanamanjato J, Raselimanana A, Wu S, Nussbaum R, Stone D (2008) Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar. Glob Change Biol 14:1703–1720
Reu B, Proulx R, Bohn K, Dyke J, Kleidon A, Pavlick R, Schmidtlein S (2011) The role of climate and plant functional trade-offs in shaping global biome and biodiversity patterns. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 20:570–581
Root T, Price J, Hall K, Schneider S, Rosenzweig C, Pounds J (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421:57–60
Siqueira M, Peterson A (2003) Consequences of global climate change for geographic distributions of Cerrado tree species. Biota Neotropica 3:1–14
Sitch S, Huntingford C, Gedney N, Levy P, Lomas M, Piao S, Bett R, Ciai P, Cox P, Friedlingstein P, Jones C, Prentice I, Woodward F (2008) Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs). Glob Change Biol 14:1–25
Thomas C (2010) Climate, climate change and range boundaries. Divers Distrib 16:488–495
Thuiller W, Albert C, Araújo M, Berry P, Cabeza M, Guisan A, Hickler T, Midgley G, Paterson J, Schurr F, Sykes M, Zimmermann N (2008) Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: future challenges. Perspect Plant Ecol Evol Syst 9:137–152
Utescher T, Erdei B, François L, Mosbrugger V (2007) Tree diversity in the Miocene forests of Western Eurasia. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol, Paleaoecol 253:226–250
Van der Putten W, Macel M, Visser M (2010) Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels. Phil Trans of Roy Soc Lond Biol Sci 365:2025–2034
Vetaas O (2002) Realized and potential climate niches: a comparison of four Rhododendron tree species. J Biogeogr 29:545–554
Violle C, Navas M, Vile D, Kazakou E, Hummel C, Garnier E (2007) Let the concept of trait be functional. Oikos 116:882–892
Walther G, Beissner S, Burga C (2005) Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants. J Veg Sci 16:541–548
Warnant P, François L, Strivay D, Gérard J (1994) CARAIB: a global model of terrestrial biological productivity. Global Biogeochem Cy 8:255–270
White M, Running S, Thornton P (1999) The impact of growing season length variability on carbon assimilation and evapotranspiration over 88 years in the eastern US deciduous forest. Int J Biometeorol 42:139–145
Williams S, Shoo L, Isaac J, Hoffmann A, Langham G (2008) Towards an integrated framework for assessing the vulnerability of species to climate change. PLOS Biol 6:2621–2626
Wright J, Muller-Landau H, Schipper J (2009) The future of tropical species on a warmer planet. Conserv Biol 23:1418–1426
Zelazowski P, Malhi Y, Huntingford C, Sitch S, Fisher J (2011) Changes in the potential distribution of humid tropical forests on a warmer planet. Philos Trans R Soc 369:137–160