environmental criminology; decision making; inference; serial offenders; geographical profiling; spatio-temporal analysis; criminologie environnementale; prise de décision; inférence; auteurs en série; profilage géographique; analyse spatio-temporelle
Abstract :
[en] This paper is dedicated to the identification of the constraints and factors enabling the computation of an effective geographic profile, with the specificity of focusing only on the elements that could be available during an investigation. It aimed at filling the gap between the inductive demarche of environmental criminology and the deductive, operational procedure followed by geographic profilers. It reviews successively the relationship between the premeditation, the seriousness of the facts, the nature of the offences and the spatio-temporal pattern of the crimes with the criteria required to build effective likelihood surfaces in geographic profiling. A decision tree is provided as a tool for evaluating the risks of an ineffective geographic profile with regard to the non-respect of the different conditions. [fr] Cet article est dédié à l’identification des contraintes et facteurs permettant la construction d’un profil géographique efficace, avec la particularité de s’intéresser aux seuls éléments disponibles durant une enquête criminelle. L’article cherche à combler le vide méthodologique entre la démarche inductive de la criminologie environnementale et la procédure déductive et opérationnelle suivie par les profileurs géographiques. Il examine successivement la relation entre la préméditation, la gravité des faits, la nature de l'infraction et la configuration spatio-temporelle des crimes avec les critères nécessaires à la construction de surfaces de vraisemblance efficaces dans le profilage géographique. En synthèse, un arbre de décision permet d’évaluer les risques d’un profile erroné en fonction du non-respect des différentes conditions
Disciplines :
Human geography & demography Criminology Theoretical & cognitive psychology
Author, co-author :
Trotta, Marie ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de géographie > Unité de Géomatique - Cartographie et S.I.G.
Lemaître, André ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Institut des sciences humaines et sociales > Criminologie
Donnay, Jean-Paul ; Université de Liège - ULiège > Département de géographie > Unité de Géomatique - Cartographie et S.I.G.
Language :
English
Title :
Operationality of geographic profiling through a hypothetico-deductive method. A review of constraints and factors.
Alternative titles :
[fr] Opérationnalité du profilage géographique au travers d'une démarche hypothético-déductive. État de l'art des contraintes et des facteurs.
Publication date :
2013
Journal title :
Bulletin de la Société Géographique de Liège
ISSN :
0770-7576
eISSN :
2507-0711
Publisher :
Société Géographique de Liège, Liège, Belgium
Special issue title :
Crime mapping & modeling
Volume :
60
Peer reviewed :
Peer Reviewed verified by ORBi
Funders :
F.R.S.-FNRS - Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique [BE]
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