Reference : Land surface interactions modeling (Agent-Based-Model - Dynamic Vegetation Model) ove...
Scientific congresses and symposiums : Poster
Physical, chemical, mathematical & earth Sciences : Earth sciences & physical geography
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/214332
Land surface interactions modeling (Agent-Based-Model - Dynamic Vegetation Model) over Belgium: current state and crop yield assessment for future (at the Belgian and European scales)
English
Jacquemin, Ingrid mailto [Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'astrophys., géophysique et océanographie (AGO) > Modélisation du climat et des cycles biogéochimiques >]
Beckers, Veronique [Université de Namur - UNamur > Géographie > > >]
Henrot, Alexandra-Jane mailto [Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'astrophys., géophysique et océanographie (AGO) > Modélisation du climat et des cycles biogéochimiques >]
Berckmans, Julie [Institut Royal Météorologique - IRM > > > >]
Hamdi, Rafiq [Institut Royal Météorologique - IRM > > > >]
François, Louis mailto [Université de Liège - ULiège > Département d'astrophys., géophysique et océanographie (AGO) > Modélisation du climat et des cycles biogéochimiques >]
Dendoncker, Nicolas [Université de Namur - UNamur > Géographie > > >]
23-May-2017
A0
No
No
International
MACSUR Scientific Conference
22 au 24 mai 2017
Berlin
Allemagne
[en] Crop Yield ; Dynamic Vegetation Model ; Belgium
[en] Agriculture in Europe is under substantial pressure. Farmers need to adapt to an ever-increasing global market, resulting in increasing competition and a high dependency on global food prices. Furthermore, they have to deal with an increasing urbanization pressure and to comply with increasingly strict environmental rules and policies, sometimes requiring heavy investments. Combined to potential impacts of climate changes on ecosystems functions and structures, these factors could lead to a change in land use structure.
In the framework of the MASC project ("Modelling and Assessing Surface Change impacts on Belgium and Western European climate"), we aim at providing a better understanding of these factors, with the final objective of improving regional climate model projections at the decennial scale over Belgium and Western Europe by combining high-resolution models. We propose to combine an agent-base model (ABM) and a dynamic vegetation model (DVM), CARAIB (“CARbon Assimilation In the Biosphere”). The ABM models the farmers as individual agents using a certain number of parcels. They decide on what to plant based on market prices, subsidies, crop rotations, personal preferences and the expected yield, which will be given by CARAIB.
CARAIB will be forced over Belgium with the outputs of the regional climate model ALARO (4 km resolution) for the recent past and for the most common crops. As a first attempt to assess the impact of the climate change on crops yields over Europe, CARAIB will be driven with the outputs of several regional climate models (RCMs), from EURO-CORDEX, nested in CMIP5 general circulation model projections: ALADIN53 (Météo-France/CNRM), RACMO22E (KNMI), RCA4 (SMHI) and REMO2009 (MPI-CSC) RCMs (0.11-degree, ≈12 km)
Politique Scientifique Fédérale (Belgique) = Belgian Federal Science Policy
MASC
Researchers ; Professionals ; Students
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/214332

There is no file associated with this reference.

Bookmark and Share SFX Query

All documents in ORBi are protected by a user license.