[en] In this paper, we analyse a database of around 41,000 operational losses from the European bank UniCredit. We investigate three kinds of covariates: firm-specific, fi-
nancial and macroeconomic covariates and we study their relationship with the shape
parameter of the severity distribution. To do so, we introduce a semiparametric approach
to estimate the shape parameter of the severity distribution, conditionally to
large sets of covariates. Relying on a single index assumption to perform a dimension
reduction, this approach avoids the curse of dimensionality of pure multivariate nonparametric
techniques as well as too restrictive parametric assumptions. We show
that taking into account variables measuring the economic well being of the bank
could cause the required Operational Value-at-Risk to vary drastically. Especially,
high pre-tax ROE, efficiency ratio and stock price are associated with a low shape
parameter of the severity distribution, whereas a high market volatility, leverage ratio
and unemployment rate are associated with higher tail risks. Finally, we discuss the
fact that the considered approach could be an interesting tool to improve the estimation
of the parameters in a Loss Distribution Approach and to offer an interesting
methodology to study capital requirements variations throughout scenario analyses.
Research Center/Unit :
Quantitative methods in Operations and Management (QuantOM)
Disciplines :
Quantitative methods in economics & management
Author, co-author :
Hambuckers, julien ; Université de Liège > HEC-Ecole de gestion : UER > Statistique appliquée à la gestion et à l'économie
Heuchenne, Cédric ; Université de Liège > HEC-Ecole de gestion : UER > Statistique appliquée à la gestion et à l'économie
Lopez, Olivier
Language :
English
Title :
What are the determinants of the operational losses severity distribution ? A multivariate analysis based on a semiparametric approach.
Publication date :
June 2015
Event name :
8th Annual Society for Financial Econometrics Conference
This website uses cookies to improve user experience. Read more
Save & Close
Accept all
Decline all
Show detailsHide details
Cookie declaration
About cookies
Strictly necessary
Performance
Strictly necessary cookies allow core website functionality such as user login and account management. The website cannot be used properly without strictly necessary cookies.
This cookie is used by Cookie-Script.com service to remember visitor cookie consent preferences. It is necessary for Cookie-Script.com cookie banner to work properly.
Performance cookies are used to see how visitors use the website, eg. analytics cookies. Those cookies cannot be used to directly identify a certain visitor.
Used to store the attribution information, the referrer initially used to visit the website
Cookies are small text files that are placed on your computer by websites that you visit. Websites use cookies to help users navigate efficiently and perform certain functions. Cookies that are required for the website to operate properly are allowed to be set without your permission. All other cookies need to be approved before they can be set in the browser.
You can change your consent to cookie usage at any time on our Privacy Policy page.