Publications and communications of Louis François

Hambuckers, A., Paillet, M., Henrot, A.-J., Trolliet, F., Cheddadi, R., Fettweis, X., Dury, M., Porteman, K., & François, L. (2021). Afinación de los resultados de un modelo dinámico de vegetación (CARAIB): La importancia de los rasgos de las plantas para mejorar la precisión de la predicción a nivel de especies arbóreas. In F. O. Sarmiento & E. V. Sarmiento (Eds.), Flancos Andinos: Paleoecología, Biogeografía Crítica y Ecología Política en los Climas Cambiantes de los Bosques Neotropicales de Montaña (pp. 78-82). UNTRM FONDO EDITORIAL. doi:10.5281/zenodo.4961560

Verma, A., Lanssens, B., Tölle, M., Jacquemin, I., Chaudhari, T. J., Hambuckers, A., & François, L. (February 2025). Integrating high-resolution data and species-level traits for enhanced ecosystem projections using a dynamic vegetation model: Case study in Wallonia, Belgium. Journal of Environmental Management, 375, 124329. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124329

Ugolotti, A., Anders, T., Lanssens, B., Hickler, T., François, L., & Tölle, M. H. (2023). Impact of bias correction on climate change signals over central Europe and the Iberian Peninsula. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2023.1116429

Hambuckers, A., Trolliet, F., Dury, M., Henrot, A.-J., Porteman, K., El Hasnaoui, Y., Van den Bulcke, J., De Mil, T., Remy, C. C., Cheddadi, R., & François, L. (2022). Towards a More Realistic Simulation of Plant Species with a Dynamic Vegetation Model Using Field-Measured Traits: The Atlas Cedar, a Case Study. Forests, 13 (3), 446. doi:10.3390/f13030446

Zabel, F., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Minoli, S., Jägermeyr, J., Schneider, J. M., Franke, J. A., Moyer, E., Dury, M., François, L., Folberth, C., Liu, W., Pugh, T. A. M., Olin, S., Rabin, S. S., Mauser, W., Hank, T., Ruane, A. C., & Asseng, S. (August 2021). Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Global Change Biology, 27 (16), 3870 - 3882. doi:10.1111/gcb.15649

Müller, C., Franke, J., Jägermeyr, J., Ruane, A. C., Elliott, J., Moyer, E., Heinke, J., Falloon, P. D., Folberth, C., François, L., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R. C., Jacquemin, I., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T. A. M., Williams, K., & Zabel, F. (26 February 2021). Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 16, 034040. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc

Hambuckers, A., de Harenne, S., Rocha Ledezma, E., Zuniga Zeballos, L., & François, L. (2021). Predicting the Future Distribution of Ara rubrogenys, an Endemic Endangered Bird Species of the Andes, Taking Into Account Trophic Interactions. Diversity, 13 (94). doi:10.3390/d13020094

Jacquemin, I., Berckmans, J., Henrot, A.-J., Dury, M., Tychon, B., Hambuckers, A., Hamdi, R., & François, L. (2021). Using the CARAIB dynamic vegetation model to simulate crop yields in Belgium: validation and projections for the 2035 horizon. Geo-Eco-Trop: Revue Internationale de Géologie, de Géographie et d'Écologie Tropicales, 44 (4), 541-552.

Franke, J. A., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A. C., Jägermeyr, J., Balkovic, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P. D., Folberth, C., François, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, R. C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N., Koch, M., Li, M., ... Moyer, E. J. (2020). The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment: Global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (5), 2315-2336. doi:10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020

Ito, A., Reyer, C. P. O., Gädeke, A., Ciais, P., Chang, J., Chen, M., François, L., Forrest, M., Hickler, T., Ostberg, S., Shi, H., Thiery, W., & Tian, H. (2020). Pronounced and unavoidable impacts of low-end global warming on northern high-latitude land ecosystems. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (4). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab702b

Raghunathan, P., François, L., Cazetta, E., Pitance, J.-L., De Vleeschouwer, K., & Hambuckers, A. (2020). Deterministic modelling of seed dispersal based on observed behaviours of an endemic primate in Brazil. PLoS ONE, 15 (12), 0244220. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0244220

Minoli, S., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A. C., Jägermeyr, J., Zabel, F., Dury, M., Folberth, C., François, L., Hank, T., Jacquemin, I., Liu, W., Olin, S., & Pugh, T. A. (30 September 2019). Global response patterns of major rainfed crops to adaptation by maintaining current growing periods and irrigation. Earth's Future, 7 (12), 1464-1480. doi:10.1029/2018EF001130

Bugmann, H., Seidl, R., Hartig, F., Bohn, F., Brůna, J., Cailleret, M., François, L., Heinke, J., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Hülsmann, L., Huth, A., Jacquemin, I., Kollas, C., Lasch-Born, P., Lexer, M. J., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Mette, T., ... Reyer, C. P. O. (2019). Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale. Ecosphere, 10 (2). doi:10.1002/ecs2.2616

Dury, M., Jacquemin, I., Henrot, A.-J., & François, L. (2019). Estimation of present and future soil water balance and its impacts on wheat yields in African regions north of the equator using a dynamic vegetation model. Geo-Eco-Trop: Revue Internationale de Géologie, de Géographie et d'Écologie Tropicales, 43 (3), 317-326.

Pinaya, J. L. D., Cruz, F. W., Ceccantini, G. C. T., Corrêa, P. L. P., Pitman, N., Vemado, F., Lopez, M. D. C. S., Pereira Filho, A. J., Grohmann, C. H., Chiessi, C. M., Stríkis, N. M., Horák-Terra, I., Pinaya, W. H. L., de Medeiros, V. B., Santos, R. D. A., Akabane, T. K., Silva, M. A., Cheddadi, R., Bush, M., ... De Oliveira, P. E. (2019). Brazilian montane rainforest expansion induced by Heinrich Stadial 1 event. Scientific Reports, 9 (1), 17912. doi:10.1038/s41598-019-53036-1

Schewe, J., Gosling, S. N., Reyer, C., Zhao, F., Ciais, P., Elliott, J., François, L., Huber, V., Lotze, H. K., Seneviratne, S. I., van Vliet, M. T. H., Vautard, R., Wada, Y., Breuer, L., Büchner, M., Carozza, D. A., Chang, J., Coll, M., Deryng, D., ... Warszawski, L. (2019). State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes. Nature Communications, 10 (1), 1005. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6

Cantú, A. G., Frieler, K., Reyer, C. P. O., Ciais, P., Chang, J., Ito, A., Kazuya, N., François, L., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Steinkamp, J., Rafique, R., Zhao, F., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Tian, H., Pan, S., Yang, J., Morfopoulos, C., & Betts, R. (2018). Evaluating changes of biomass in global vegetation models: the role of turnover fluctuations and ENSO events. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac63c

Dury, M., Mertens, L., Fayolle, A., Verbeeck, H., Hambuckers, A., & François, L. (2018). Refining species traits in a dynamic vegetation model to project the impacts of climate change on tropical trees in Central Africa. Forests, 9 (11). doi:10.3390/f9110722

Horemans, J. A., Henrot, A.-J., Delire, C., Kollas, C., Lasch-Born, P., Reyer, C., Suckow, F., François, L., & Ceulemans, R. (2017). Combining multiple statistical methods to evaluate the performance of process-based vegetation models across three forest stands. Central European Forestry Journal. doi:10.1515/forj-2017-0025

Wyard, C., Scholzen, C., Fettweis, X., Van Campenhout, J., & François, L. (April 2017). Decrease in climatic conditions favouring floods in the south-east of Belgium over 1959-2010 using the regional climate model MAR. International Journal of Climatology, 37 (5), 2782–2796. doi:10.1002/joc.4879

Chang, J., Ciais, P., Wang, X., Piao, S., Asrar, G., Betts, R., Chevallier, F., Dury, M., François, L., Frieler, K., Garcia Cantu Ros, A., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Ito, A., Morfopoulos, C., Munhoven, G., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Pan, S., ... Zhao, F. (2017). Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 045002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fa

Cheddadi, R., Henrot, A.-J., François, L., Bush, M., Carré, M., Coissac, E., De Oliveira, P. E., Ficetola, F., Hambuckers, A., Huang, K., Lézine, A.-M., Nourelbait, M., Rouijati, A., Taberlet, P., Sarmiento, F., Abel-Schaad, D., Alba-Sánchez, F., & Zheng, Z. (2017). Microrefugia, climate change, and conservation of Cedrus atlantica in the Rif Mountains, Morocco. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 5. doi:10.3389/fevo.2017.00114

Chen, M., Rafique, R., Asrar, G. R., Bond-Lamberty, B., Ciais, P., Zhao, F., Reyer, C. P. O., Ostberg, S., Chang, J., Ito, A., Yang, J., Zeng, N., Kalnay, E., West, T., Leng, G., François, L., Munhoven, G., Henrot, A.-J., Tian, H., ... Hickler, T. (2017). Regional contribution to variability and trends of global gross primary productivity. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (10), 105005. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

Ito, A., Nishina, K., Reyer, C. P. O., François, L., Henrot, A.-J., Munhoven, G., Jacquemin, I., Tian, H., Yang, J., Pan, S., Morfopoulos, C., Betts, R., Hickler, T., Steinkamp, J., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Ciais, P., Chang, J., Rafique, R., ... Zhao, F. (2017). Photosynthetic productivity and its efficiencies in ISIMIP2a biome models: benchmarking for impact assessment studies. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (8), 085001. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a19

Minet, J., Laloy, E., Tychon, B., & François, L. (2015). Bayesian inversions of a dynamic vegetation model at four European grassland sites. Biogeosciences, 12 (9), 2809-2829. doi:10.5194/bg-12-2809-2015

Pirttioja, N., Carter, T., Fronzek, S., Bindi, M., Hoffmann, H., Palosuo, T., RuizRamos, M., Trnka, M., Acutis, M., Asseng, S., Baranowski, P., Basso, B., Bodin, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Deligios, P., Destain, M.-F., Doro, L., Dumont, B., ... Jacquemin, I. (2015). A crop model ensemble analysis of temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect using impact response surfaces". Climate Research, 65, 87-105. doi:10.3354/cr01322

Fontaine, C., Dendoncker, N., De Vreese, R., Jacquemin, I., Marek, A., Van Herzele, A., Devillet, G., Mortelmans, D., & François, L. (2014). Towards Participatory Integrated Valuation and Modelling of Ecosystem Services under Land-use Change. Journal of Land Use Science, 9, 278-303. doi:10.1080/1747423X.2013.786150

Goddéris, Y., Brantley, S. L., François, L., Schott, J., Pollard, D., Déqué, M., & Dury, M. (January 2013). Rates of consumption of atmospheric CO2 through the weathering of loess during the next 100 yr of climate change. Biogeosciences, 10, 135-148. doi:10.5194/bg-10-135-2013

Dury, M., Hambuckers, A., Warnant, P., Henrot, A., Favre, E., Ouberdous, M., & François, L. (2011). Responses of European forest ecosystems to 21(st) century climate: assessing changes in interannual variability and fire intensity. iForest: Biogeosciences and Forestry, 4, 82-99. doi:10.3832/ifor0572-004

Henrot, A., François, L., Favre, E., Butzin, M., Ouberdous, M., & Munhoven, G. (2010). Effects of CO2, continental distribution, topography and vegetation changes on the climate at the Middle Miocene: a model study. Climate of the Past, 6, 675-694. doi:10.5194/cp-6-675-2010

Henrot, A., François, L., Brewer, S., & Munhoven, G. (2009). Impacts of land surface properties and atmospheric CO2 on the Last Glacial Maximum climate: a factor separation analysis. Climate of the Past, 5 (2), 183-202. doi:10.5194/cp-5-183-2009

Rasse, D. P., François, L., Aubinet, M., Kowalski, A. S., Vande Walle, I., Laitat, E., & Gérard, J.-C. (2001). Modelling short-term CO2 fluxes and long-term tree growth in temperate forests with ASPECTS. Ecological Modelling, 141 (1-3), 35-52. doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00239-3

Nemry, B., François, L., Gérard, J.-C., Bondeau, A., & Heimann, M. (1999). Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): analysis of the seasonal atmospheric CO2 signal. Global Change Biology, 5 (Suppl. 1), 65-76. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2486.1999.00008.x

François, L., & Gérard, J.-C. (1988). OZONE, CLIMATE AND BIOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT IN THE ANCIENT OXYGEN-POOR ATMOSPHERE. Planetary and Space Science, 36 (12), 1391-1414. doi:10.1016/0032-0633(88)90007-4

Gérard, J.-C., & François, L. (1988). A SENSITIVITY STUDY OF THE EFFECTS OF SOLAR LUMINOSITY CHANGES ON THE EARTHS GLOBAL TEMPERATURE. Annales Geophysicae, 6 (1), 101-112.

François, L., & Gérard, J.-C. (1986). Reducing Power of Ferrous Iron in the Archean Ocean, 1. Contribution of Photosynthetic Oxygen. Paleoceanography, 1, 355-368. doi:10.1029/PA001i004p00355

François, L., & Gérard, J.-C. (1986). A numerical model of the evolution of ocean sulfate and sedimentary sulfur during the last 800 million years. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 50, 2289-2302. doi:10.1016/0016-7037(86)90083-9

François, L., & Hambuckers, A. (2020). Modeling past plant species distributions in mountainous areas: a way to improve our knowledge of future climate change impacts? Past Global Changes Magazine, 28 (1), 16-17.

Demarteau, M., François, L., Cheddadi, R., & Roche, E. (2007). Réponses de Cedrus atlantica aux changements climatiques passés et futurs. Geo-Eco-Trop: Revue Internationale de Géologie, de Géographie et d'Écologie Tropicales.

Doutreloup, S., Wyard, C., Belleflamme, A., François, L., Fettweis, X., & Erpicum, M. (2017). Évaluation de la capacité du Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) à simuler la saison des pluies en Afrique Intertropicale. In S. Dahech & S. Charfi (Eds.), Actes du XXXe colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie : CLIMAT, VILLE ET ENVIRONNEMENT (pp. 389-395).

Dupre, B., Dessert, C., Grard, A., François, L., Godderis, Y., Allegre, C. J., & Gaillardet, J. (2002). The role of basalt chemical weathering on the CO2 cycle. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 66 (15A), 202-A202.

Munhoven, G., François, L., & Pardo Cantos, I. (13 September 2024). Matinées « Les Changements climatiques » at ULiège: An Innovative Combination of Public Outreach and Geoscience Teaching [Paper presentation]. 8th International Geologica Belgica Meeting 2024, Liège, Belgium.