Publications of Laura Lamair
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See detailFlow dynamics at the origin of thin clayey sand lacustrine turbidites: Examples from Lake Hazar, Turkey
Hage, Sophie; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; Lamair, Laura ULiege et al

in Sedimentology (2017), 64

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See detailNew Geological Evidence of Past Earthquakes and Tsunami Along the Nankai Trough, Japan
De Batist, Marc; Heyvaert, Vanessa; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege et al

in AGU abstract 2015 (2016, December)

The east coast of Japan is prone to tsunamigenic megathrust earthquakes, as tragically demonstrated in 2011 by the Tōhoku earthquake (Mw 9.0) and tsunami. The Nankai Trough subduction zone, to the ... [more ▼]

The east coast of Japan is prone to tsunamigenic megathrust earthquakes, as tragically demonstrated in 2011 by the Tōhoku earthquake (Mw 9.0) and tsunami. The Nankai Trough subduction zone, to the southwest of the area affected by the Tōhoku disaster and facing the densely populated and heavily industrialized southern coastline of central and west Japan, is expected to generate another megathrust earthquake and tsunami in the near future. This subduction zone is, however, segmented and appears to be characterized by a variable rupture mode, involving single- as well as multi-segment ruptures, which has immediate implications for their tsunamigenic potential, and also renders the collection of sufficiently long time records of past earthquakes and tsunami in this region fundamental for an adequate hazard and risk assessment. Over the past three decades, Japanese researchers have acquired a large amount of geological evidence of past earthquakes and tsunami, in many cases extending back in time for several thousands of years. This evidence includes uplifted marine terraces, turbidites, liquefaction features, subsided marshes and tsunami deposits in coastal lakes and lowlands. Despite these efforts, current understanding of the behaviour of the subduction zone still remains limited, due to site-specific evidence creation and preservation thresholds and issues over alternative hypotheses for proposed palaeoseismic evidence and insufficiently precise chronological control. Within the QuakeRecNankai project we are generating a long and coherent time series of megathrust earthquake and tsunami recurrences along the Nankai Trough subduction zone by integrating all existing evidence with new geological records of paleo-tsunami in the Lake Hamana region and of paleo-earthquakes from selected lakes in the Mount Fuji area. We combine extensive fieldwork in coastal plain areas and lakes, with advanced sedimentological and geochemical analyses and innovative dating techniques. [less ▲]

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See detailA history of mass transport complexes related to eruptions and earthquake shaking: the case of Lake Motosu (Japan).
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; El Ouahabi, Meriam ULiege et al

Conference (2016, March 04)

The QuakeRecNankai project focuses on geological records of paleoearthquakes along the Nankai-Suruga subduction zone, south central Japan. In the framework of the project, we investigated the Fuji Five ... [more ▼]

The QuakeRecNankai project focuses on geological records of paleoearthquakes along the Nankai-Suruga subduction zone, south central Japan. In the framework of the project, we investigated the Fuji Five Lakes, located at the eastern end of the Nankai-Suruga Trough. Here, we present results from Lake Motosu, the deepest of the Fuji Five Lakes (max. depth 122 m), including seismic reflection profiles, gravity cores and preliminary results of 6.8 m long piston core. We identify mass transport deposits and turbidites possibly triggered by earthquakes. We study the lake sedimentary architecture and the Holocene sedimentation with a high resolution GEOPULSE pinger system. A seismic grid with total length of 39 km covered the lake. We identify a specific seismic horizon that may be related to the Aokigaraharamarubi lava flow (864 A.D.). Strong reflectors may also correlate with tephra layers from Oniwa-Okuniwa eruptions (620-790 A.D). In the western part of the lake, the seismic reflection profile reveals a change after the proposed Oniwa-Okuniwa eruptions in terms of volume and length of mass transport deposits. Large mass-transport deposits occurring before the eruptions are characterized by chaotic seismic facies. After the eruptions, the mass-transport deposits are much smaller and are characterized by transparent seismic facies attributed to turbiditic flow. Six gravity cores (max. 90cm long) provide samples of the lake bottom sediments. In these cores, turbidites and megaturbidites were identified based on facies analyses, combined with X-ray scanning, geophysical properties, grain-size analysis, mineralogy and XRF. During the period between the Oniwa-Okuniwa eruptions and the Aokigaraharamarubi lava flow (620-864 A.D), several lava flows occurred in the northern part of Mount Fuji and drastically modified the catchment of Lake Motosu. The decreasing of the size of catchment led to a decreasing of sedimentary yield in the lake. The change in the sedimentation rate could partly explain why we have a change in the type of mass transport deposit. Additionally, analyses were performed to define the minimum shaking intensity required to destabilize the slope. To assess slope stability, we investigated the clay content and the clay mineralogy of samples taken along the slope. In this presentation, we discuss the link between eruptions of Mount Fuji, decreasing of the size of the catchment, sedimentation rate and earthquake shaking. [less ▲]

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See detailA history of mass transport complexes related to earthquake shaking: the case of Lake Motosu (Japan).
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; Boes, Evelien et al

Poster (2016, January 27)

The QuakeRecNankai project focuses on geological records of paleoearthquakes along the Nankai-Suruga subduction zone, south central Japan. In the framework of the project, we investigated the Fuji Five ... [more ▼]

The QuakeRecNankai project focuses on geological records of paleoearthquakes along the Nankai-Suruga subduction zone, south central Japan. In the framework of the project, we investigated the Fuji Five Lakes, located at the eastern end of the Nankai-Suruga Trough. Here, we present results from Lake Motosu, the deepest of the Fuji Five Lakes (max. depth 122 m), including seismic reflection profiles and gravity cores. We identify mass transport deposits and turbidites possibly triggered by earthquakes. We study the lake sedimentary architecture and the Holocene sedimentation with a very high resolution GEOPULSE pinger system. A seismic grid with total length of 39 km covered the lake. We identify a specific seismic horizon that may be related to the Aokigaraharamarubi lava flow (864 A.D.). Strong reflectors may also correlate with tephra layers from Oniwa-Okuniwa eruptions (620-790 A.D). In the western part of the lake, the seismic reflection profile reveals a change after the proposed Oniwa-Okuniwa eruptions in terms of volume and length of mass transport deposits. Large mass-transport deposits occurring before the eruptions are characterized by chaotic seismic facies. After the eruptions, the mass-transport deposits are much smaller than previously and characterized by transparent seismic facies attributed to a turbiditic flow. Six gravity cores (max. 90cm) provide samples of the lake bottom sediments. In these cores, turbidites were identified based on facies analyses, combined with X-ray scanning, geophysical properties, grain-size analysis, mineralogy and XRF. An age-depth model was established based on radionuclide dating. We compare the timing of sedimentary events in Lake Motosu with a historical catalogue of natural hazards in the Fuji Five Lakes area, including historical records of megathrust earthquakes rupturing the Nankai subduction zone, the Sagami Trough and other earthquakes occurring along inland faults. Several analyses were performed to understand why we have a change in type of mass transport deposit after the eruptions and to define the minimum shaking intensity required to destabilize the slope. To assess slope stability, we investigated the clay content and the clay mineralogy of the slope. Spatial statistics was also performed in order to evaluate the degree of the slope and the accumulation of sediment. We suggest that the presence of a scoria layer might have contributed to slope destabilization. [less ▲]

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See detailLate Holocene history of the Fuji Five Lakes (Japan)
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; Boes, Evelien et al

Conference (2015, July)

Detailed reference viewed: 28 (5 ULiège)
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See detailInvestigation of the Five Fuji Lakes and their potential of recording paleoearthquakes
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; Boes, Evelien et al

Conference (2015, March 04)

Detailed reference viewed: 26 (4 ULiège)
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See detailTien Shan geohazards database: Earthquakes and landslides
Havenith, Hans-Balder ULiege; Strom, Alexander; Torgoev, Isakbek et al

in Geomorphology (2015), 249

In this paper we present new and review already existing landslide and earthquake data for a large part of the Tien Shan, Central Asia. For the same area, only partial databases for sub-regions have been ... [more ▼]

In this paper we present new and review already existing landslide and earthquake data for a large part of the Tien Shan, Central Asia. For the same area, only partial databases for sub-regions have been presented previously. They were compiled and new data were added to fill the gaps between the databases. Major new inputs are products of the Central Asia Seismic Risk Initiative (CASRI): a tentative digital map of active faults (even with indication of characteristic or possible maximum magnitude) and the earthquake catalogue of Central Asia until 2009 that was now updated with USGS data (to May 2014). The new compiled landslide inventory contains existing records of 1600 previously mapped mass movements and more than 1800 new landslide data. Considering presently available seismo-tectonic and landslide data, a target region of 1200 km (E–W) by 600 km (N–S) was defined for the production of more or less continuous geohazards information. This target region includes the entire Kyrgyz Tien Shan, the South-Western Tien Shan in Tajikistan, the Fergana Basin (Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) as well as the Western part in Uzbekistan, the North-Easternmost part in Kazakhstan and a small part of the Eastern Chinese Tien Shan (for the zones outside Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, only limited information was available and compiled)... [less ▲]

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See detailUnderstanding of the diversity of earthquake turbiditic flows in a single lake: the case of the Lake Hazar on the East Anatolian Fault
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Hage, Sophie ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege et al

Poster (2014, August)

The East Anatolian Fault (EAF) is a major left-lateral strike-slip fault accommodating with the conjugate North Anatolian Fault the westward extrusion of the Anatolian Plate away from the Arabia-Eurasia ... [more ▼]

The East Anatolian Fault (EAF) is a major left-lateral strike-slip fault accommodating with the conjugate North Anatolian Fault the westward extrusion of the Anatolian Plate away from the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone. The East Anatolian Fault ruptured over most of its length during the 19th century in a series of magnitude ~7 earthquakes. During the 20th century this fault was less active with only two events of magnitude greater than 6. This absence of large earthquakes has resulted in relatively little attention being paid to the East Anatolian Fault compared to the North Anatolian Fault, which has ruptured during the last century in several earthquakes of Ms~7. To constrain the seismic history of the East Anatolian Fault in its central part, we focus on the Hazar Lake, occupying a 20 km long pull-apart basin. Short cores and long sedimentary cores were collected at three different sites to retrieve a paleoseismic record. Small correlative coarse-grained sedimentary events are identified in all cores. The age of the events is inferred combining radiocarbon and radionuclide (137 Cs and 210Pb) dating. We present here detailed analyses of three sedimentary events assigned respectively to the historical earthquakes occurring in 1789, 1513-1514, 1285. The source of the sedimentary events is different at the three sites. We combine X-ray imagery, magnetic susceptibility, grain-size and XRF measurements with thin section analysis to investigate the nature of sedimentary events. The analyses show first that the three sedimentary events are different. The magnitude of the terrigenous signal varies significantly. Second the correlative events have a different expression at the three sites. So each site has a different and specific sensitivity. In particular, an individual event can be composed of several coarse-grained sub-events of different magnitude with a time lapse in between greater than a week. The latter is reveals by the presence of bioturbation in particular by chironomids in individual thin sand layers. Thin section also shows that subevents are gradded. Each coarse-grained layer is thus a separated turbiditic flow. The site with the highest sensitivity is the one located near the near-shore steep submarine southern slopes overhanged by the steep subaerial slopes of the Hazar Mountains. The rivers draining the Hazar Mountains are ephemeral and provide a restricted sedimentary supply. In addition, seismic reflection data show that the submarine slopes do not to accumulate a significant sedimentary load. However on these steep slopes, an earthquake intensity of 6 or less is enough to trigger a slope failure and the associated turbiditic flow. We conclude that the different sub-events at this site may record a complete earthquake sequence, i.e the main-shock and its foreshocks and aftershocks. [less ▲]

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See detailHARBIYE AQUEDUCT: A RECORD OF PAST EARTHQUAKES
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Degée, Hervé ULiege; Hubert, Aurelia ULiege et al

Poster (2014, August)

This paper presents a detailed analysis of Harbiye aqueduct (Hatay, Turkey). The region is situated at the junction of two major faults (East Anatolian fault and the Dead Sea fault) and is well known for ... [more ▼]

This paper presents a detailed analysis of Harbiye aqueduct (Hatay, Turkey). The region is situated at the junction of two major faults (East Anatolian fault and the Dead Sea fault) and is well known for his important historic seismicity. The aqueduct is located close to Antioch on the Orontes (known as Antakya). The city was founded in the third century BC. Harbiye aqueduct is characterized by different stages of building (Benjelloun et al., submitted). A phase is dated to Caligula period. After the 37 AD earthquake, the aqueduct was rebuilt. We noticed the presence of two dissociated travertine and a changing of masonry material. We also observed several damages and repair structures dating from Roman time. We assume that our observations are the results of one or more earthquakes. Since the construction of the aqueduct, historical seismic records mention 13 earthquakes that provoked severe damages in the city of Antioch (Guidoboni et al. 1994, Al-Tarazi, 1999, Över et al. 2002). The last one occurred in 1872 (M=7.2). In order to test our hypothesis, we modelled the structure of the aqueduct by using FineLg, a software developed at University of Liege. The seismic signals were chosen in the European Strong-motion database (Ambraseys et al., 2002) according the following criteria: a bedrock station (to avoid site effect), a strike-slip fault mechanism and a distance between the station and the epicenter around 20-30 km. The aqueduct is located at about 25 km of the Dead Sea Fault. We tested several magnitudes for the purpose of estimate the magnitude of the earthquake(s) which destroy(s) the studied aqueduct. Our results highlight the bond between the magnitude, the damage and the weakness area of this type of structure. [less ▲]

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See detailThe Amik Lake in Southern Turkey over the last 4000 years, a new paleoseismological record of ruptures along the Northern Dead Sea Fault
Hubert, Aurelia ULiege; El Ouahabi, Meriam ULiege; Lebeau, Hèlène et al

Poster (2014, June 30)

The study focuses on the sedimentary record of the Amik Lake occupying the central part of a pull-apart basin. The Basin is crossed by The Dead Sea Fault (DSF), a major neotectonic structure in the Middle ... [more ▼]

The study focuses on the sedimentary record of the Amik Lake occupying the central part of a pull-apart basin. The Basin is crossed by The Dead Sea Fault (DSF), a major neotectonic structure in the Middle East extending from the Red Sea in the south to the East Anatolian Fault Zone in the north. Around the Amik Basin, continuous human occupation is attested since 6000-7000 BC. Indeed the low-lying Amuq plain is covered by tell settlements first explored by Robert Braidwood in the 1930s. Our objective in this presentation is to look at major paleo-environmental changes recorded in the Amik Lake over the last 4000 years and in particular its potential paleoseimic sedimentary record. The lake has been drained and progressively dried up since the mid-50s so that it is not watered during the summer season and constitutes a unique opportunity to collect sediment records. Sediments were collected at 1 cm to 2 cm intervals in a trench and in cores up to a depth of 5 meters in the clay deposits. A diverse array of complementary methods is applied to study the records: magnetic susceptibility, grain size, organic matter and inorganic carbon (L.O.I), XRD mineralogy, XRF geochemistry, carbon geochemistry and clay mineralogy. The age of the record is constrained combining radionuclide and radiocarbon dating. The sedimentary record shows large earthquake related structural disturbances and smaller siliciclastic sedimentary events. The siliciclastic input would be related to enhanced detritical sedimentation related to earthquake shaking. The latter is further investigated looking at intensities and shake maps related to the last 19th century M>7 earthquakes in the area and landslide prone area in the lake catchment. [less ▲]

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See detailReview of the Newmark method predicting seismic slope displacements - the focus on the Arias Intensity amplification factor
Torgoev, Almazbek ULiege; Havenith, Hans-Balder ULiege; Lamair, Laura ULiege

in Proceedings of the International Symposium in Commemoration of the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake (2013, May)

Detailed reference viewed: 31 (1 ULiège)
See detailParametric numerical study of seismic slope stability and the Newmark method
Havenith, Hans-Balder ULiege; Torgoev, Almazbek ULiege; Lamair, Laura ULiege

Conference (2013, April)

2D dynamic modelling of seismic slope stability is applied to a landslide-prone area in Central Asia, the Mailuu-Suu Valley, situated in the south of Kyrgyzstan. The calculations are made with models ... [more ▼]

2D dynamic modelling of seismic slope stability is applied to a landslide-prone area in Central Asia, the Mailuu-Suu Valley, situated in the south of Kyrgyzstan. The calculations are made with models constructed from over 30 profiles located in the target area, presenting different geological, tectonic and morphological settings. One part of the profiles were selected within landslide zones, the other part was selected in stable areas. Many of the landslides are complex slope failures involving falls, rotational sliding and/or planar sliding and flows. These input data were extracted from a 3D structural geological model built with the GOCAD software. Geophysical and geomechanical parameters were defined on the basis of results obtained by multiple surveys performed in the area over the past 15 years. These include geophysical investigation, seismological experiments and ambient noise measurements. Dynamic modelling of slope stability is performed with the UDEC version 4.01 software that is able to compute deformation of discrete elements. Inside these elements both elasto-plastic and purely elastic materials (similar to rigid blocks) were tested. Various parameter variations were tested to assess their influence on the final outputs. For a few models groundwater flow is included. The total parametric study involved more than 100 different models (about 800 computation hours). Preliminary results allow us to compare Newmark displacements computed using different GIS approaches (Jibson et al., 1998; Miles and Ho, 1999, among others) with the displacements computed using the original Newmark method (Newmark, 1965, here simulated seismograms were used) and displacements produced along joints by the corresponding 2D dynamical models. The generation of seismic amplification and its impact on peak-ground-acceleration, Arias Intensity and permanent slope movements (total and slip on joints) is assessed for numerous morphological-lithological settings (curvature, slope angle, surficial geology, various layer dips and orientations) throughout the target area. The final results of our studies should allow us to define the limitations of the simplified GIS-based Newmark displacement modelling; thus, the verified method would make landslide susceptibility and hazard mapping in seismically active regions more reliable. [less ▲]

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See detailA Review of Recent Case Studies of Landslides Investigated in the Tien Shan Using Microseismic and Other Geophysical Methods
Torgoev, Almazbek ULiege; Lamair, Laura ULiege; Torgoev et al

in Ugai, K; Wakai, A; Yagi, H (Eds.) Proceedings of the International Symposium on Earthquake-induced landslides (2012, December)

This paper reviews recent case studies completed on landslides (and dams) with probable (post-) seismic origin or susceptible to seismic failure in the Tien Shan, Central Asia. The first investigation ... [more ▼]

This paper reviews recent case studies completed on landslides (and dams) with probable (post-) seismic origin or susceptible to seismic failure in the Tien Shan, Central Asia. The first investigation presented here was carried out in 2005 on the Kainama earthflow, mainly composed of loess, which occurred in April 2004 and killed 33 people. Geophysical and seismological were used to build a reliable 3D model of the geometry and properties of the subsurface layers. The paper will also present results from microseismic measurements on loess landslides in Tajikistan that partly have a seismic origin. They are located close to the area that was affected in 1949 by the M=7.4 Khait earthquake and the numerous landslides triggered during the event, including the Khait rock avalanche. [less ▲]

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See detailCalcul de l’aléa sismique pour une région dans le Tien-Shan Central, étude in situ et modélisation numérique dynamique de la réponse sismique de sites de bassin de retenue.
Lamair, Laura ULiege

Master's dissertation (2012)

Kyrgyzstan is situated in the heart of the Tien Shan. During the last two centuries, several M>7 earthquakes occurred in this country. Therefore, a good knowledge of seismic hazard in this area is ... [more ▼]

Kyrgyzstan is situated in the heart of the Tien Shan. During the last two centuries, several M>7 earthquakes occurred in this country. Therefore, a good knowledge of seismic hazard in this area is essential, not only at regional scale but also at local scale. First, this work presents a detailed analysis of seismic hazard in the Central Tien Shan. Several seismic hazard map have been made but none of them include paleoseismic data. Our maps are based on previous studies of probabilistic seismic hazard of the Kyrgyz Tien Shan (Abdrakhmatov et al., 2003). We integrate in our calculation the palaeoseismicity of the Talas Fergana Fault. It allows us to take into consideration strong earthquakes with high return periods. The final results are presented as maps with different return periods (100, 200, 475, 1000, 2000, 5000 and 10000 years). The outcomes are discussed in comparison with previous results, with GSHAP predictions (Ulomov et al., 1999) and with probabilistic seismic hazard map (Abdrakhmatov et al., 2003). The purpose of the second part of this study is the assessment of local seismic hazard of Tuyuk-Suu and Taldy-Bulak "D" tailings, both located in the Minkush valley. First, seismic wave amplifications are determined by means of spectral ratios of the horizontalto- vertical (H/V) components acquired through ambient noise measurements. Secondly, a dynamic modeling of the two tailings is performed. It is based on peak ground acceleration calculated previously for a return period of 1000 years. The dynamic modeling gives Fourier spectra for several histories. Spectral ratios obtained from dynamic modeling are compared with H/V measurement in order to estimate site effects. [less ▲]

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See detailDetailed Seismic Hazard Assessment for The Central Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan
Lamair, Laura ULiege; Havenith, Hans-Balder ULiege; Abdrakhmatov, K

Poster (2012, August 23)

Detailed reference viewed: 35 (6 ULiège)