References of "Erpicum, Michel"
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See detailSimulation des précipitations dans la région du Lac Victoria (Afrique Équatoriale de l'Est) à l'aide du modèle régional MAR
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

in Bonnardot, Valérie; Quenol, Hervé (Eds.) Actes du Colloque de l'AIC 2020 - Changement climatique et territoires (2020)

Rainfall simulation in the Lake Victoria region (Eastern Equatorial Africa) using the MAR regional model. The region of the Lake Victoria in Eastern Equatorial Africa is a real challenge for regional ... [more ▼]

Rainfall simulation in the Lake Victoria region (Eastern Equatorial Africa) using the MAR regional model. The region of the Lake Victoria in Eastern Equatorial Africa is a real challenge for regional modeling, particularly for rainfall simulation. In this study, the regional model MAR is used to simulate rainfall over this region of Africa. MAR is forced at its boundaries by the ERA-Interim reanalyses over the period 1987-2017 and has a horizontal resolution of 15 km. The objective of this study is, firstly, to assess the rainfall simulated by MAR against different observation databases, secondly, to determine whether there have been any changes in the rainfall regime over the study period and thirdly, to determine if MAR model is capable of simulating seasonal variations in rainfall in this region. The results show that it is very difficult to evaluate the outputs of a model over this region when the available observational data are contradictory. [less ▲]

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See detailPrecipitation Evolution over Belgium by 2100 and Sensitivity to Convective Schemes Using the Regional Climate Model MAR
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege; Kittel, Christoph ULiege; Wyard, Coraline et al

in Atmosphere (2019), 10(321),

The first aim of this study is to determine if changes in precipitation and more specifically in convective precipitation are projected in a warmer climate over Belgium. The second aim is to evaluate if ... [more ▼]

The first aim of this study is to determine if changes in precipitation and more specifically in convective precipitation are projected in a warmer climate over Belgium. The second aim is to evaluate if these changes are dependent on the convective scheme used. For this purpose, the regional climate model Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) was forced by two general circulation models (NorESM1-M and MIROC5) with five convective schemes (namely: two versions of the Bechtold schemes, the Betts–Miller–Janjić scheme, the Kain–Fritsch scheme, and the modified Tiedtke scheme) in order to assess changes in future precipitation quantities/distributions and associated uncertainties. In a warmer climate (using RCP8.5), our model simulates a small increase of convective precipitation, but lower than the anomalies and the interannual variability over the current climate, since all MAR experiments simulate a stronger warming in the upper troposphere than in the lower atmospheric layers, favoring more stable conditions. No change is also projected in extreme precipitation nor in the ratio of convective precipitation. While MAR is more sensitive to the convective scheme when forced by GCMs than when forced by ERA-Interim over the current climate, projected changes from all MAR experiments compare well. [less ▲]

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See detailPotential new sources of hypoglycin A poisoning for equids kept at pasture in spring: a field pilot study
Votion, Dominique ULiege; Habyarimana, J.A.; Scippo, Marie-Louise ULiege et al

in Veterinary Record: Journal of the British Veterinary Association (2019)

The first objective of this pilot study was to measure the concentration of HGA in samaras of sycamore trees fallen on the ground and then in seedlings from germination. The subsequent objective was to ... [more ▼]

The first objective of this pilot study was to measure the concentration of HGA in samaras of sycamore trees fallen on the ground and then in seedlings from germination. The subsequent objective was to examine other possible sources of HGA intoxication. [less ▲]

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See detailSensitivity to Convective Schemes on Precipitation Simulated by the Regional Climate Model MAR over Belgium (1987–2017)
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege; Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Amory, Charles ULiege et al

in Atmosphere (2019), 10(1), 34

The aim of this study is to assess the sensitivity of convective precipitation modelled by the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) over 1987–2017 to four newly implemented ... [more ▼]

The aim of this study is to assess the sensitivity of convective precipitation modelled by the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) over 1987–2017 to four newly implemented convective schemes: the Bechtold scheme coming from the MESO-NH regional model and the Betts-Miller-Janjić, Kain-Fritsch and modified Tiedtke schemes coming from the WRF regional model. MAR version 3.9 is used here at a resolution of 10 km over a domain covering Belgium using the ERA-Interim reanalysis as forcing. The simulated precipitation is compared against SYNOP and E-OBS gridded precipitation data. Trends in total and convective precipitation over 1987–2017 are discussed. None of the MAR experiments compares better with observations than the others and they all show the same trends in (extreme) precipitation. Over the period 1987–2017, MAR suggests a significant increase in the mean annual precipitation amount over the North Sea but a significant decrease over High Belgium. [less ▲]

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See detailThe climate of Belgium and Luxembourg
Erpicum, Michel ULiege; Nouri, Myriem ULiege; Demoulin, Alain ULiege

in Demoulin, Alain (Ed.) Landscapes and landforms of Belgium and Luxembourg (2018)

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See detailSunlight irradiance and habituation of visual evoked potentials in migraine: The environment makes its mark
Lisicki Martinez, Marco ULiege; D'Ostilio, Kevin; Erpicum, Michel ULiege et al

in Cephalalgia (2017)

Background Migraine is a complex multifactorial disease that arises from the interaction between a genetic predisposition and an enabling environment. Habituation is considered as a fundamental adaptive ... [more ▼]

Background Migraine is a complex multifactorial disease that arises from the interaction between a genetic predisposition and an enabling environment. Habituation is considered as a fundamental adaptive behaviour of the nervous system that is often impaired in migraine populations. Given that migraineurs are hypersensitive to light, and that light deprivation is able to induce functional changes in the visual cortex recognizable through visual evoked potentials habituation testing, we hypothesized that regional sunlight irradiance levels could influence the results of visual evoked potentials habituation studies performed in different locations worldwide. Methods We searched the literature for visual evoked potentials habituation studies comparing healthy volunteers and episodic migraine patients and correlated their results with levels of local solar radiation. Results After reviewing the literature, 26 studies involving 1291 participants matched our inclusion criteria. Deficient visual evoked potentials habituation in episodic migraine patients was reported in 19 studies. Mean yearly sunlight irradiance was significantly higher in locations of studies reporting deficient habituation. Correlation analyses suggested that visual evoked potentials habituation decreases with increasing sunlight irradiance in migraine without aura patients. Conclusion Results from this hypothesis generating analysis suggest that variations in sunlight irradiance may induce adaptive modifications in visual processing systems that could be reflected in visual evoked potentials habituation, and thus partially account for the difference in results between studies performed in geographically distant centers. Other causal factors such as genetic differences could also play a role, and therefore well-designed prospective trials are warranted. [less ▲]

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See detailÉvaluation de la capacité du Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) à simuler la saison des pluies en Afrique Intertropicale
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege; Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Belleflamme, Alexandre ULiege et al

in Dahech, Salem; Charfi, Sami (Eds.) Actes du XXXe colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie : CLIMAT, VILLE ET ENVIRONNEMENT (2017, July)

In Intertropical Africa, climate is essentially characterized by the amount of precipitation and its annual regime. These precipitations and their evolution during the period 1970-1999 are simulated ... [more ▼]

In Intertropical Africa, climate is essentially characterized by the amount of precipitation and its annual regime. These precipitations and their evolution during the period 1970-1999 are simulated thanks to the Regional Atmospheric Model (MAR), developed at the ULg, and forced by the NCEP1 reanalyses and by the outputs of three global models (GCM) of the CMIP5 database. These MAR simulations are compared to the gridded data of the Climate Research Unit (CRU). It is clear from our investigations that the simulation of the MAR model forced by the NCEP1 reanalyses is better reproducing the quantities as well as the annual rainfall regime in the semi-arid regions than in equatorial regions. On the other hand, simulations of the MAR forced by the outputs of the GCMs are globally unsatisfactory throughout the intertropical domain in terms of quantities as well as the seasonality of precipitation. [less ▲]

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See detailÉvolution de l'enneigement moyen dans les Alpes au cours du 20e siècle à l'aide du modèle atmosphérique régional MAR
Belleflamme, Alexandre ULiege; Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege et al

in Dahech, Salem; Charfi, Sami (Eds.) Actes du XXXème colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie - Climat, ville et environnement (2017, July)

The evolution of the snow height over the Alps can strongly impact tourism, but also the water availability of the region. In this study, we have reproduced the evolution of the climate in the Alps over ... [more ▼]

The evolution of the snow height over the Alps can strongly impact tourism, but also the water availability of the region. In this study, we have reproduced the evolution of the climate in the Alps over the 20th century with the help of the regional atmospheric model MAR forced by three reanalyses (ERA-20C, NCEP/NCAR, and ERA-Interim). MAR shows that the snow height has increased since the beginning of the 20th century, first only at higher altitudes, then also at lower levels, before knowing a strong and abrupt decrease between 1985 and 1990. This evolution, which is consistent with observations given in the literature, is directly linked with the trends of NAO and AO. In fact, the atmospheric circulation changes highlighted by NAO and AO induce temperature and precipitation changes that directly determine the snow height in the Alps. [less ▲]

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See detailRECONSTRUCTION DE L'ÉVOLUTION DU RAYONNEMENT SOLAIRE REÇU EN SURFACE EN EUROPE OCCIDENTALE SUR LA PÉRIODE 1900-2014 À L'AIDE DU MODÈLE ATMOSPHÉRIQUE RÉGIONAL MAR
Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Belleflamme, Alexandre ULiege et al

in Dahech, Salem; Charfi, Sami (Eds.) Actes du XXXe colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie : Climat, ville et environnement (2017, July)

Many studies show that the surface solar radiation has underwent large variations over the second half of the 20th century as a result of variations in cloud cover and aerosol loading in the atmosphere ... [more ▼]

Many studies show that the surface solar radiation has underwent large variations over the second half of the 20th century as a result of variations in cloud cover and aerosol loading in the atmosphere. However, it is difficult to build strong conclusions before the 1950' because of the observations scarcity. The evolution of the surface solar radiation has been reconstructed over 1900-2014 using the regional model MAR (« Modèle Atmosphérique Régional ») in Belgium. Boundary conditions were provided by four reanalysis products : the ERA-interim (1979-2014) completed by the ERA40 (1958-1978), the NCEP/NCAR-v1 (1948-2014), the ERA-20C (1900-2010) and the 20CRV2C (1900-2010). Results show that the reanalyses can generate divergent trends while they assimilate observations and are supposed to represent the same climate. [less ▲]

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See detailSnow cover evolution and its impact on flooding in the Ourthe River catchment (southeast of Belgium) over the period 1958­-2014 using the MAR model
Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

Conference (2015, November 13)

The Ourthe River (southeast of Belgium) is one of the main tributaries of the Meuse River with a catchment area of 3500 km². About 50 % of the floods which occur in the Ourthe River catchment are due to ... [more ▼]

The Ourthe River (southeast of Belgium) is one of the main tributaries of the Meuse River with a catchment area of 3500 km². About 50 % of the floods which occur in the Ourthe River catchment are due to rainfall events associated with the melting of the snow which covers the Ardennes in winter. In this study, hydroclimatic conditions favourable to flooding were reconstructed over the period 1958-2014 using the regional climate model MAR (« Modèle Atmosphérique Régional ») forced by the ERA-interim reanalysis and by the NCEP1 reanalysis. As validation, the MAR results were compared to weather station-based data. A trends analysis was then performed in order to study the evolution of conditions favourable to flooding in the Ourthe River catchment. When the MAR model is forced by the NCEP1 reanalysis, results show a significant decrease in hydroclimatic conditions favourable to flooding because of a decrease in snow accumulation as well as a decrease in the frequency of extreme precipitation events in winter. When MAR is forced by the ERA-interim reanalysis, non-significant trends are found, which could be explained by an underestimation of the precipitation amount computed by the ERA-40 reanalysis before 1979. Further studies are needed to explain the decreasing trends in snow accumulation and extreme precipitation events. Moreover, an hydrological model could also be forced by the MAR outputs in order to improve flood detection. [less ▲]

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See detailEtude de l'évolution de l'enneigement dans les Hautes Fagnes (Belgique) au cours des cinquante dernières années à l'aide du modèle climatique régional MAR
Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

in Erpicum, Michel (Ed.) Actes du XXVIIIe colloque annuel de l’Association Internationale de Climatologie : Modélisations et variabilités (2015, July)

The “Modèle Atmosphérique Régionale” MAR is a regional climate model originally developed to study the polar ice sheets. In this study, the MAR model has been adapted to Belgium in order to study the snow ... [more ▼]

The “Modèle Atmosphérique Régionale” MAR is a regional climate model originally developed to study the polar ice sheets. In this study, the MAR model has been adapted to Belgium in order to study the snow cover evolution of the High Fens (east of Belgium), a region covered by snow on average one to two months per year. As validation, we have sucessfully compared MAR based daily snow heights with snowcam-based and/or laser sensor-based observations over the period 2008-2013. Then, the model has been forced by ERA-Interim since 1958 to study the snow cover evolution during the last fifty years at the summit of Belgium. The results show no significant trend despite global warming. [less ▲]

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See detailFuture climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5
Lang, Charlotte ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

in Cryosphere (2015), 9

We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the ... [more ▼]

We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the south causing larger increase of absorbed solar radiation. The ablation area is projected to disappear over the entire Svalbard by 2085. The SMB decrease compared to present is projected to contribute 7mm to SLR. [less ▲]

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See detailGlobal, diffuse and direct irradiances modelling over northwestern Europe using regional climate model MAR : validation and construction of a 30-year climatology
Beaumet, Julien ULiege; Doutreloup, Sébastien ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege et al

Poster (2015, April 17)

Incoming solar global irradiances are modelled using MAR regional climate model forced by ERA-Interim reanalysis. Global irradiances are decomposed into direct and diffuse using sigmoid model from Ruiz ... [more ▼]

Incoming solar global irradiances are modelled using MAR regional climate model forced by ERA-Interim reanalysis. Global irradiances are decomposed into direct and diffuse using sigmoid model from Ruiz-Arias et al. (2010). Results are validated using data from the European Solar Radiation Atlas for Uccle and Braunschweig weather stations. A 30-year climatology has been built and trends and variability have been analyzed. [less ▲]

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See detailSnow cover evolution during the last fifty years in the Hautes Fagnes (Belgium) using the regional climate MAR model
Wyard, Coraline ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

Conference (2015, April 16)

The MAR model is a regional climate model originally developped for the polar regions to study the surface mass balance. In this study, the MAR model has been adapted to Belgium in order to study the snow ... [more ▼]

The MAR model is a regional climate model originally developped for the polar regions to study the surface mass balance. In this study, the MAR model has been adapted to Belgium in order to study the snow cover evolution of the Hautes Fagnes (south-east of Belgium), a region covered by snow one to two months per year. As validation, we have sucessfully compared MAR based daily snow heights with snowcam-based observations. Then, the model has been forced by ERA-Interim since 1958 to study the snow cover evolution during the last fifty years at the summit of Belgium. The results show non-significant trend. [less ▲]

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See detailRecent summer Arctic atmospheric circulation anomalies in a historical perspective
Belleflamme, Alexandre ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

in Cryosphere (2015), 9

A significant increase in the summertime occurrence of a high pressure area over the Beaufort Sea, the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, and Greenland has been observed since the beginning of the 2000s, and ... [more ▼]

A significant increase in the summertime occurrence of a high pressure area over the Beaufort Sea, the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, and Greenland has been observed since the beginning of the 2000s, and particularly between 2007 and 2012. These circulation anomalies are likely partly responsible for the enhanced Greenland ice sheet melt as well as the Arctic sea ice loss observed since 2007. Therefore, it is interesting to analyse whether similar conditions might have happened since the late 19th century over the Arctic region. We have used an atmospheric circulation type classification based on daily mean sea level pressure and 500 hPa geopotential height data from five reanalysis data sets (ERA-Interim, ERA-40, NCEP/NCAR, ERA-20C, and 20CRv2) to put the recent circulation anomalies in perspective with the atmospheric circulation variability since 1871. We found that circulation conditions similar to 2007–2012 have occurred in the past, despite a higher uncertainty of the reconstructed circulation before 1940. For example, only ERA-20C shows circulation anomalies that could explain the 1920–1930 summertime Greenland warming, in contrast to 20CRv2. While the recent anomalies exceed by a factor of 2 the interannual variability of the atmospheric circulation of the Arctic region, their origin (natural variability or global warming) remains debatable. [less ▲]

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See detailStable climate and surface mass balance in Svalbard over 1979–2013 despite the Arctic warming
Lang, Charlotte ULiege; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; Erpicum, Michel ULiege

in Cryosphere (2015), 9

With the help of the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) forced by the ERA-Interim reanalysis (MARERA) and the MIROC5 (Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) global model ... [more ▼]

With the help of the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) forced by the ERA-Interim reanalysis (MARERA) and the MIROC5 (Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) global model (MARMIROC5) from the CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) database, we have modelled the climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard at a 10 km resolution over 1979–2013. The integrated total surface mass balance (SMB) over Svalbard modelled by MARERA is negative (−1.6 Gt yr−1) with a large interannual variability (7.1 Gt) but, unlike over Greenland, there has been no acceleration of the surface melt over the past 35 years because of the recent change in atmospheric circulation bringing northwesterly flows in summer over Svalbard, contrasting the recent observed Arctic warming. However, in 2013, the atmospheric circulation changed to a south–southwesterly flow over Svalbard causing record melt, SMB (−20.4 Gt yr−1) and summer temperature. MIROC5 is significantly colder than ERA-Interim over 1980–2005 but MARMIROC5 is able to improve the near-surface MIROC5 results by simulating not significant SMB differences with MARERA over 1980–2005. On the other hand, MIROC5 does not represent the recent atmospheric circulation shift in summer and induces in MARMIROC5 a significant trend of decreasing SMB (−0.6 Gt yr−2) over 1980–2005. [less ▲]

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See detailSensitivity of Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance to perturbations in sea surface temperature and sea ice cover: a study with the regional climate model MAR
Noel, Brice; Fettweis, Xavier ULiege; van de Berg, W.J. et al

in Cryosphere (2014), 8

During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North ... [more ▼]

During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favoring warmer atmospheric conditions than normal over the GrIS. Simultaneously, large anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) were observed in the North Atlantic, suggesting a possible connection. To assess the direct impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR forced by ERA-Interim. These simulations suggest that perturbations in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not considerably impact GrIS SMB, as a result of the katabatic wind blocking effect. These offshore-directed winds prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST anomalies, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds cease. A topic for further investigation is how anomalies in SIC and SST might have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, hence favoring more frequent warm air advection towards the GrIS. [less ▲]

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